AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Friendlies Clubs Jul 23, 2022

Atalanta

Home
VS
15:00

Como

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Atalanta Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Como Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 3.94 - 1.35
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.9 vs 1.4
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atalanta Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Como Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (5%) 3-0 (5%) 3-2 (5%) 2-0 (4%) 2-2 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Atalanta Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 27 Atalanta vs Torino 4-4
Apr 18 Atalanta vs Verona 1-2
Apr 03 Atalanta vs Napoli 1-3
Mar 20 Atalanta vs Bologna 0-1
Mar 13 Atalanta vs Genoa 0-0
Mar 05 Atalanta vs AS Roma 1-0
Feb 20 Atalanta vs Fiorentina 1-0
Feb 10 Atalanta vs Fiorentina 2-3
Feb 06 Atalanta vs Cagliari 1-2
Jan 16 Atalanta vs Inter 0-0
Como Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 07 Como vs Zambia 2-1
Apr 18 Como vs Pisa 3-1
Feb 05 Como vs Lecce 1-1
Jan 14 Como vs Morocco 2-0
Dec 05 Como vs Pisa 0-1
Aug 29 Como vs Lecce 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Como struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Atalanta to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atalanta Power 40
Como Power 45
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.