A-League · Dec 03, 2023 04:00
Central Coast Mariners
PWR 35
Melbourne Victory
PWR 35
Central Coast Mariners
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT
Melbourne Victory
PWR 35
35% H
27% D
38% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (13%)
1-0 (11%)
0-1 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
0-0 (8%)
2-0 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 8.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Central Coast … Form
LLLLD
DOWN
Melbourne Vict… Form
DDDWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.545%
BTTS50%
Under 2.555%
Central Coa… Goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Melbourne V… Goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Central Coast …vs
1.12
Melbourne Vict…Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings40%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Central Coa…-5
Gap#5
Melbourne V…
WR 25% 19 pts
WR 33% 23 pts
Central Coast …
2.0%
| Nov 12 | Central… v Brisban… | 1-2 |
| Nov 04 | Central… v Perth G… | 2-0 |
| Oct 29 | Central… v Macarth… | 1-2 |
| Oct 20 | Central… v Adelaid… | 3-0 |
| Aug 13 | Central… v Sydney | 3-3 |
| Jun 03 | Central… v Melbour… | 1-6 |
| May 20 | Central… v Adelaid… | 2-0 |
| May 13 | Central… v Adelaid… | 1-2 |
| Apr 28 | Central… v Adelaid… | 1-4 |
| Apr 15 | Central… v Melbour… | 1-1 |
Melbourne Vict…
10.0%
| Nov 24 | Melbour… v Macarth… | 1-1 |
| Nov 10 | Melbour… v Welling… | 1-1 |
| Nov 04 | Melbour… v Adelaid… | 1-1 |
| Oct 21 | Melbour… v Sydney | 0-2 |
| Apr 29 | Melbour… v Brisban… | 0-1 |
| Apr 23 | Melbour… v Macarth… | 2-1 |
| Apr 15 | Melbour… v Western… | 2-1 |
| Apr 09 | Melbour… v Perth G… | 0-0 |
| Apr 05 | Melbour… v Melbour… | 2-1 |
| Apr 01 | Melbour… v Welling… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Mar 19, 2023 | Melbourne Vic… | 2-0 | Central Coast… |
| Dec 31, 2022 | Central Coast… | 2-1 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Mar 09, 2022 | Central Coast… | 1-1 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Melbourne Vic… | 1-0 | Central Coast… |
Key Factors
Central Coast Mariners struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.