AI Match Insights

La Liga Oct 01, 2023

Real Betis

Home
VS
19:00

Valencia

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Real Betis Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Valencia Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 87%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.21 - 0.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.4 Position gap: 11 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Betis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Valencia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
69%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 0-0 (21%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Under 2.5 Goals 79%
Real Betis Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 16 Real Betis vs FC Barcel… 5-0
Sep 02 Real Betis vs Rayo Vall… 1-0
Aug 20 Real Betis vs Atlético … 0-0
Aug 13 Real Betis vs Villarreal 1-2
Aug 03 Real Betis vs Sevilla FC 1-0
Jun 04 Real Betis vs Valencia 1-1
May 24 Real Betis vs Getafe 0-1
May 21 Real Betis vs Sevilla FC 0-0
May 15 Real Betis vs Rayo Vall… 3-1
Apr 29 Real Betis vs FC Barcel… 4-0
Valencia Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 16 Valencia vs Atlético … 3-0
Aug 11 Valencia vs Sevilla FC 1-2
Jun 04 Valencia vs Real Betis 1-1
May 28 Valencia vs Espanyol 2-2
May 25 Valencia vs Mallorca 1-0
May 14 Valencia vs Celta de … 1-2
Apr 23 Valencia vs Elche 0-2
Apr 16 Valencia vs Sevilla FC 0-2
Mar 18 Valencia vs Atlético … 3-0
Feb 20 Valencia vs Getafe 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 04, 2023 Real Betis 1 - 1 Valencia La Liga
Nov 10, 2022 Valencia 3 - 0 Real Betis La Liga
May 10, 2022 Valencia 0 - 3 Real Betis La Liga
Apr 23, 2022 Real Betis 1 - 1 Valencia Copa del Rey
Oct 27, 2021 Real Betis 4 - 1 Valencia La Liga
Final Verdict

PRO: Real Betis to win (73% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 73% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Real Betis Power 39
Valencia Power 29
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Real Betis Position

+11

Position Gap

16

Valencia Position

Home Win Rate: 64%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.