Bundesliga · Sep 13, 2024 18:30

Borussia Dortmund
PWR 47
4 - 2
FT

FC Heidenheim
PWR 21
41% H 26% D 33% A
Final Verdict
Borussia Dortmund Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (20%) 2-0 (14%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 0-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 4-2
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 14 rules · 84%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
GAP12_HWR65COMBINED_ELITETOP3_VS_BOTTOMFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKINGFORM_MISMATCHCOMBINED_ELITE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdâś“ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (14 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack61
Defense72
Goals/G2.1
Conc/G1.0
Attack29
Defense33
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.3
Borussia Dortm… Form DDWWD
STABLE
FC Heidenheim Form WWDDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.531%
BTTS31%
Under 2.569%
Borussia Do… Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
FC Heidenhe… Goals
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Borussia Dortm…
vs
0.53
FC Heidenheim
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings94%
Market50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Borussia Do…
+16
Gap
#18
FC Heidenhe…
WR 80% 48 pts WR 10% 13 pts
Borussia Dortm… 14.0%
Aug 31 Borussi… v Werder … 0-0
Aug 31 Borussi… v Werder … 0-0
Aug 24 Borussi… v Eintrac… 2-0
Aug 24 Borussi… v Eintrac… 2-0
Aug 06 Borussi… v Villarr… 2-2
Jun 01 Borussi… v Real Ma… 0-2
May 18 Borussi… v SV Darm… 4-0
May 18 Borussi… v SV Darm… 4-0
May 11 Borussi… v Mainz 3-0
May 11 Borussi… v FSV Mai… 3-0
FC Heidenheim 16.0%
Aug 25 FC Heid… v FC St. … 0-2
May 18 FC Heid… v FC Koln 4-1
May 11 FC Heid… v SC Frei… 1-1
May 05 FC Heid… v FSV Mai… 1-1
Apr 28 FC Heid… v SV Darm… 0-1
Apr 20 FC Heid… v RB Leip… 1-2
Apr 06 FC Heid… v Bayern … 3-2
Mar 16 FC Heid… v Borussi… 1-1
Feb 24 FC Heid… v Union B… 2-2
Feb 02 FC Heid… v Borussi… 0-0
Head-to-Head (2)
Feb 02, 2024 FC Heidenheim 0-0 Borussia Dort…
Sep 01, 2023 Borussia Dort… 2-2 FC Heidenheim
Key Factors
FC Heidenheim in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.