Bundesliga · Jan 18, 2025 14:30

VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46
4 - 0
FT

SC Freiburg
PWR 34
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
VfB Stuttgart Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
83%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (3%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
WON - Actual: 4-0
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 5 rules · 83%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy68%
FORM_DOMINANTHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_LEAKINGFORM_MISMATCH
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (5 rules, 83% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack90
Defense40
Goals/G3.0
Conc/G2.0
Attack47
Defense51
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.7
VfB Stuttgart Form WWLLW
STABLE
SC Freiburg Form LWLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.558%
BTTS37%
Under 2.542%
VfB Stuttga… Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
SC Freiburg Goals
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
VfB Stuttgart
vs
0.47
SC Freiburg
Decision Breakdown
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings70%
Market50%
League Standings
#4
VfB Stuttga…
+3
Gap
#7
SC Freiburg
WR 70% 39 pts WR 18% 30 pts
VfB Stuttgart 12.0%
Jan 15 VfB Stu… v RB Leip… 2-1
Jan 12 VfB Stu… v FC Augs… 0-1
Dec 21 VfB Stu… v FC St. … 0-1
Dec 21 VfB Stu… v FC St. … 0-1
Dec 15 VfB Stu… v 1899 Ho… 1-3
Dec 11 VfB Stu… v BSC You… 5-1
Dec 06 VfB Stu… v Union B… 3-2
Dec 06 VfB Stu… v Union B… 3-2
Dec 03 VfB Stu… v Jahn Re… 0-3
Nov 30 VfB Stu… v Werder … 2-2
SC Freiburg 12.0%
Jan 14 SC Frei… v Eintrac… 4-1
Jan 11 SC Frei… v Holstei… 3-2
Dec 21 SC Frei… v Bayer L… 5-1
Dec 13 SC Frei… v VfL Wol… 3-2
Dec 13 SC Frei… v VfL Wol… 3-2
Dec 08 SC Frei… v 1899 Ho… 1-1
Dec 03 SC Frei… v Arminia… 3-1
Nov 30 SC Frei… v M'gladb… 3-1
Nov 23 SC Frei… v Borussi… 4-0
Nov 23 SC Frei… v Borussi… 4-0
Head-to-Head (10)
Aug 24, 2024 SC Freiburg 3-1 VfB Stuttgart
Aug 24, 2024 SC Freiburg 3-1 VfB Stuttgart
Feb 03, 2024 SC Freiburg 1-3 VfB Stuttgart
Feb 03, 2024 SC Freiburg 1-3 VfB Stuttgart
Sep 02, 2023 VfB Stuttgart 5-0 SC Freiburg
Feb 11, 2023 SC Freiburg 2-1 VfB Stuttgart
Aug 20, 2022 VfB Stuttgart 0-1 SC Freiburg
Jan 22, 2022 SC Freiburg 2-0 VfB Stuttgart
Aug 28, 2021 VfB Stuttgart 2-3 SC Freiburg
Jan 23, 2021 SC Freiburg 2-1 VfB Stuttgart
Key Factors
VfB Stuttgart in strong form (3W in last 5)
SC Freiburg in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.