Bundesliga · Aug 24, 2024 13:30
SC Freiburg
PWR 34
VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46
SC Freiburg
PWR 34
3 - 1
FT
VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46
29% H
28% D
43% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (17%)
0-1 (16%)
1-0 (14%)
1-1 (13%)
0-2 (8%)
1-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATE
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack47
Defense51
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.7
Attack90
Defense40
Goals/G3.0
Conc/G2.0
SC Freiburg Form
LLDDD
DOWN
VfB Stuttgart Form
DDWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.526%
BTTS34%
Under 2.574%
SC Freiburg Goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
VfB Stuttga… Goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
SC Freiburgvs
0.95
VfB StuttgartDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings44%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
SC Freiburg-3
Gap#4
VfB Stuttga…
WR 60% 30 pts
WR 46% 39 pts
SC Freiburg
6.0%
| May 18 | SC Frei… v Union B… | 2-1 |
| May 18 | SC Frei… v Union B… | 2-1 |
| May 11 | SC Frei… v 1899 Ho… | 1-1 |
| May 11 | SC Frei… v FC Heid… | 1-1 |
| May 04 | SC Frei… v FC Koln | 0-0 |
| May 04 | SC Frei… v FC Koln | 0-0 |
| Apr 27 | SC Frei… v VfL Wol… | 1-2 |
| Apr 27 | SC Frei… v VfL Wol… | 1-2 |
| Apr 21 | SC Frei… v Mainz | 1-1 |
| Apr 21 | SC Frei… v FSV Mai… | 1-1 |
VfB Stuttgart
16.0%
| Aug 17 | VfB Stu… v Bayer 0… | 2-2 |
| Jul 13 | VfB Stu… v FC Luze… | 0-0 |
| May 18 | VfB Stu… v M'gladb… | 4-0 |
| May 18 | VfB Stu… v Borussi… | 4-0 |
| May 10 | VfB Stu… v FC Augs… | 0-1 |
| May 10 | VfB Stu… v FC Augs… | 0-1 |
| May 04 | VfB Stu… v Bayern … | 3-1 |
| May 04 | VfB Stu… v Bayern … | 3-1 |
| Apr 27 | VfB Stu… v Bayer 0… | 2-2 |
| Apr 27 | VfB Stu… v Bayer 0… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Feb 03, 2024 | SC Freiburg | 1-3 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Feb 03, 2024 | SC Freiburg | 1-3 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Sep 02, 2023 | VfB Stuttgart | 5-0 | SC Freiburg |
| Feb 11, 2023 | SC Freiburg | 2-1 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Aug 20, 2022 | VfB Stuttgart | 0-1 | SC Freiburg |
| Jan 22, 2022 | SC Freiburg | 2-0 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Aug 28, 2021 | VfB Stuttgart | 2-3 | SC Freiburg |
| Jan 23, 2021 | SC Freiburg | 2-1 | VfB Stuttgart |
Key Factors
VfB Stuttgart in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.