Bundesliga · Feb 03, 2024 14:30
SC Freiburg
PWR 34
VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46
SC Freiburg
PWR 34
1 - 3
FT
VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (18%)
2-0 (16%)
1-0 (10%)
3-1 (4%)
2-1 (3%)
0-0 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATE
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack47
Defense51
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.7
Attack90
Defense40
Goals/G3.0
Conc/G2.0
SC Freiburg Form
LLWDL
DOWN
VfB Stuttgart Form
WLLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS17%
Under 2.543%
SC Freiburg Goals
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
VfB Stuttga… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.35
SC Freiburgvs
0.20
VfB StuttgartDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings44%
Market50%
League Standings
#7
SC Freiburg-3
Gap#4
VfB Stuttga…
WR 60% 30 pts
WR 46% 39 pts
SC Freiburg
6.0%
| Jan 27 | SC Frei… v Werder … | 3-1 |
| Jan 27 | SC Frei… v Werder … | 3-1 |
| Jan 20 | SC Frei… v 1899 Ho… | 3-2 |
| Jan 13 | SC Frei… v Union B… | 0-0 |
| Dec 20 | SC Frei… v FC Heid… | 3-2 |
| Dec 20 | SC Frei… v 1899 Ho… | 3-2 |
| Dec 17 | SC Frei… v FC Koln | 2-0 |
| Dec 17 | SC Frei… v FC Koln | 2-0 |
| Dec 09 | SC Frei… v VfL Wol… | 0-1 |
| Dec 09 | SC Frei… v VfL Wol… | 0-1 |
VfB Stuttgart
4.0%
| Jan 27 | VfB Stu… v RB Leip… | 5-2 |
| Jan 20 | VfB Stu… v VfL Boc… | 1-0 |
| Jan 20 | VfB Stu… v VfL Boc… | 1-0 |
| Jan 14 | VfB Stu… v Borussi… | 3-1 |
| Jan 14 | VfB Stu… v M'gladb… | 3-1 |
| Dec 20 | VfB Stu… v FC Augs… | 3-0 |
| Dec 20 | VfB Stu… v FC Augs… | 3-0 |
| Dec 17 | VfB Stu… v Bayern … | 3-0 |
| Dec 17 | VfB Stu… v Bayern … | 3-0 |
| Dec 10 | VfB Stu… v Bayer L… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Sep 02, 2023 | VfB Stuttgart | 5-0 | SC Freiburg |
| Feb 11, 2023 | SC Freiburg | 2-1 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Aug 20, 2022 | VfB Stuttgart | 0-1 | SC Freiburg |
| Jan 22, 2022 | SC Freiburg | 2-0 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Aug 28, 2021 | VfB Stuttgart | 2-3 | SC Freiburg |
| Jan 23, 2021 | SC Freiburg | 2-1 | VfB Stuttgart |
Key Factors
SC Freiburg struggling (3L in last 5)
VfB Stuttgart struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.