Bundesliga · Sep 02, 2023 13:30
VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46
SC Freiburg
PWR 34
VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46
5 - 0
FT
SC Freiburg
PWR 34
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (13%)
0-1 (11%)
1-0 (9%)
1-2 (9%)
0-0 (8%)
0-2 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 5-0
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 68%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy73%
HOME_FORMAWAY_LEAKINGDOMINANT_COMBO
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack90
Defense40
Goals/G3.0
Conc/G2.0
Attack47
Defense51
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.7
VfB Stuttgart Form
WDDLW
STABLE
SC Freiburg Form
WLWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.547%
BTTS52%
Under 2.553%
VfB Stuttga… Goals
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
SC Freiburg Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
VfB Stuttgartvs
1.41
SC FreiburgDecision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings69%
Market50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
VfB Stuttga…+2
Gap#7
SC Freiburg
WR 70% 39 pts
WR 18% 30 pts
VfB Stuttgart
12.0%
| Aug 19 | VfB Stu… v VfL Boc… | 5-0 |
| May 27 | VfB Stu… v 1899 Ho… | 1-1 |
| May 14 | VfB Stu… v Bayer L… | 1-1 |
| May 03 | VfB Stu… v Eintrac… | 2-3 |
| Apr 29 | VfB Stu… v Borussi… | 2-1 |
| Apr 15 | VfB Stu… v Borussi… | 3-3 |
| Apr 09 | VfB Stu… v VfL Boc… | 2-3 |
| Apr 01 | VfB Stu… v Union B… | 3-0 |
| Mar 11 | VfB Stu… v Eintrac… | 1-1 |
| Mar 04 | VfB Stu… v Bayern … | 1-2 |
SC Freiburg
8.0%
| Aug 26 | SC Frei… v Werder … | 1-0 |
| Jul 22 | SC Frei… v VfL Wol… | 2-3 |
| May 19 | SC Frei… v VfL Wol… | 2-0 |
| May 06 | SC Frei… v RB Leip… | 0-1 |
| May 02 | SC Frei… v RB Leip… | 1-5 |
| Apr 29 | SC Frei… v FC Koln | 0-1 |
| Apr 16 | SC Frei… v Werder … | 1-2 |
| Apr 08 | SC Frei… v Bayern … | 0-1 |
| Apr 04 | SC Frei… v Bayern … | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | SC Frei… v VfB Stu… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Feb 11, 2023 | SC Freiburg | 2-1 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Aug 20, 2022 | VfB Stuttgart | 0-1 | SC Freiburg |
| Jan 22, 2022 | SC Freiburg | 2-0 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Aug 28, 2021 | VfB Stuttgart | 2-3 | SC Freiburg |
| Jan 23, 2021 | SC Freiburg | 2-1 | VfB Stuttgart |
Key Factors
SC Freiburg struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.