AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga Feb 11, 2023

SC Freiburg

Home
VS
14:30

VfB Stuttgart

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
SC Freiburg Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
VfB Stuttgart Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 4.50 - 0.61
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
SC Freiburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
VfB Stuttgart Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 2-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
SC Freiburg Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 SC Freibu… vs Borussia … 5-1
Jan 28 SC Freibu… vs FC Augsbu… 3-1
Jan 21 SC Freibu… vs VfL Wolfs… 6-0
Jan 13 SC Freibu… vs Hamburger… 6-2
Nov 09 SC Freibu… vs RB Leipzig 3-1
Nov 06 SC Freibu… vs FC Koln 2-0
Oct 22 SC Freibu… vs Werder Br… 2-0
Oct 16 SC Freibu… vs Bayern Mu… 5-0
Aug 20 SC Freibu… vs VfB Stutt… 0-1
Aug 12 SC Freibu… vs Borussia … 1-3
VfB Stuttgart Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 VfB Stutt… vs Werder Br… 0-2
Jan 24 VfB Stutt… vs 1899 Hoff… 2-2
Dec 16 VfB Stutt… vs FC Luzern 0-3
Nov 12 VfB Stutt… vs Bayer Lev… 2-0
Nov 04 VfB Stutt… vs Borussia … 3-1
Oct 22 VfB Stutt… vs Borussia … 5-0
Oct 15 VfB Stutt… vs VfL Bochum 4-1
Oct 09 VfB Stutt… vs Union Ber… 0-1
Sep 17 VfB Stutt… vs Eintracht… 1-3
Sep 10 VfB Stutt… vs Bayern Mu… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • SC Freiburg struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • VfB Stuttgart struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 20, 2022 VfB Stuttgart 0 - 1 SC Freiburg Bundesliga
Jan 22, 2022 SC Freiburg 2 - 0 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
Aug 28, 2021 VfB Stuttgart 2 - 3 SC Freiburg Bundesliga
Jan 23, 2021 SC Freiburg 2 - 1 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
SC Freiburg Power 34
VfB Stuttgart Power 46
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

SC Freiburg Position

-3

Position Gap

4

VfB Stuttgart Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.