AI Match Insights

Bundesliga Jan 22, 2022

SC Freiburg

Home
VS
14:30

VfB Stuttgart

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
SC Freiburg Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
VfB Stuttgart Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.45 - 0.34
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.3
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
SC Freiburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
VfB Stuttgart Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (18%) 0-0 (17%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
SC Freiburg Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 14 SC Freibu… vs Borussia … 5-1
Nov 06 SC Freibu… vs Bayern Mu… 2-1
Oct 23 SC Freibu… vs VfL Wolfs… 0-2
Oct 16 SC Freibu… vs RB Leipzig 1-1
Sep 26 SC Freibu… vs FC Augsbu… 3-0
Sep 11 SC Freibu… vs FC Koln 1-1
Aug 28 SC Freibu… vs VfB Stutt… 2-3
Aug 21 SC Freibu… vs Borussia … 2-1
May 15 SC Freibu… vs Bayern Mu… 2-2
May 09 SC Freibu… vs FC Koln 1-4
VfB Stuttgart Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 14 VfB Stutt… vs Bayern Mu… 0-5
Nov 20 VfB Stutt… vs Borussia … 2-1
Oct 24 VfB Stutt… vs Union Ber… 1-1
Oct 02 VfB Stutt… vs 1899 Hoff… 3-1
Sep 26 VfB Stutt… vs VfL Bochum 0-0
Sep 19 VfB Stutt… vs Bayer Lev… 1-3
Sep 12 VfB Stutt… vs Eintracht… 1-1
Aug 28 VfB Stutt… vs SC Freibu… 2-3
Apr 10 VfB Stutt… vs Borussia … 2-3
Apr 04 VfB Stutt… vs Werder Br… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 28, 2021 VfB Stuttgart 2 - 3 SC Freiburg Bundesliga
Jan 23, 2021 SC Freiburg 2 - 1 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
SC Freiburg Power 34
VfB Stuttgart Power 46
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

SC Freiburg Position

-3

Position Gap

4

VfB Stuttgart Position

Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.