AI Match Insights

State Cup Jan 31, 2023

Hapoel Petah Tikva

Home
VS
17:00

Ashdod

Away
AI Predictions 65.0% Confidence
Hapoel Petah Tikva Win
65.0%
Draw
21.0%
Ashdod Win
14.0%
Home Win (65% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 1.60 - 0.54
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.5
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hapoel Petah Tikva Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Ashdod Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (15%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Hapoel Petah Tikva Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 27 Hapoel Pe… vs Ironi Tib… 0-1
Jan 17 Hapoel Pe… vs Hapoel Ra… 1-0
Jan 13 Hapoel Pe… vs Hapoel Ri… 1-3
Jan 04 Hapoel Pe… vs Maccabi T… 0-2
Dec 26 Hapoel Pe… vs Kafr Qasim 0-1
Dec 07 Hapoel Pe… vs Hapoel Ac… 2-1
Nov 14 Hapoel Pe… vs Hapoel Ac… 1-1
Oct 28 Hapoel Pe… vs Hapoel Kf… 1-3
Oct 18 Hapoel Pe… vs Hapoel Ra… 0-3
Oct 03 Hapoel Pe… vs Ironi Tib… 2-2
Ashdod Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 Ashdod vs Ironi Kir… 1-1
Jan 14 Ashdod vs Maccabi T… 3-0
Jan 07 Ashdod vs Maccabi T… 3-0
Dec 08 Ashdod vs Maccabi T… 0-1
Nov 08 Ashdod vs Bnei Sakh… 1-1
Nov 05 Ashdod vs Hapoel Te… 1-0
Oct 29 Ashdod vs Maccabi H… 3-1
Oct 22 Ashdod vs Beitar Je… 0-2
Oct 10 Ashdod vs Ironi Kir… 1-1
Sep 17 Ashdod vs Maccabi T… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Hapoel Petah Tikva in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Hapoel Petah Tikva to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hapoel Petah Tikva Power 0
Ashdod Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.