AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga 1 Sep 27, 2024

Persebaya Surabaya

Home
VS
12:00

Dewa United

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Persebaya Surabaya Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Dewa United Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 45%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.68 - 1.10
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Persebaya Surabaya Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Dewa United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (19%) 0-0 (17%) 1-1 (13%) 1-0 (11%) 0-2 (10%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
Persebaya Surabaya Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 16 Persebaya… vs Malut Uni… 0-0
Apr 28 Persebaya… vs Persik Ke… 2-1
Apr 24 Persebaya… vs Bali Unit… 0-2
Apr 16 Persebaya… vs Dewa Unit… 0-3
Mar 27 Persebaya… vs Arema FC 0-1
Mar 13 Persebaya… vs Persepam … 0-0
Mar 07 Persebaya… vs Pusamania… 2-1
Feb 28 Persebaya… vs PSM Makas… 0-0
Feb 04 Persebaya… vs Bhayangka… 1-0
Oct 20 Persebaya… vs Bali Unit… 3-1
Dewa United Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 26 Dewa Unit… vs PSM Makas… 3-1
Aug 19 Dewa Unit… vs Persib Ba… 2-2
Aug 12 Dewa Unit… vs Arema FC 0-0
Apr 30 Dewa Unit… vs Pusamania… 2-1
Apr 16 Dewa Unit… vs Persebaya… 0-3
Mar 27 Dewa Unit… vs Persita 4-1
Mar 16 Dewa Unit… vs Bhayangka… 2-3
Dec 17 Dewa Unit… vs Persis So… 1-2
Dec 08 Dewa Unit… vs Bali Unit… 1-1
Dec 02 Dewa Unit… vs Persik Ke… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 16, 2024 Persebaya Surabaya 0 - 3 Dewa United Liga 1
Sep 30, 2023 Dewa United 1 - 1 Persebaya Surabaya Liga 1
Apr 15, 2023 Persebaya Surabaya 3 - 0 Dewa United Liga 1
Dec 24, 2022 Dewa United 1 - 2 Persebaya Surabaya Liga 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Persebaya Surabaya to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Persebaya Surabaya Power 0
Dewa United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Persebaya Surabaya Position

+5

Position Gap

10

Dewa United Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.