AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga 1 Sep 30, 2023

Dewa United

Home
VS
08:00

Persebaya Surabaya

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Dewa United Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Persebaya Surabaya Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 4.21 - 0.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.2 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Dewa United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
19%
Persebaya Surabaya Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (5%) 1-0 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Dewa United Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 22 Dewa Unit… vs Persita 1-0
Sep 15 Dewa Unit… vs Bhayangka… 2-2
Aug 04 Dewa Unit… vs Persis So… 0-0
Jul 29 Dewa Unit… vs Bali Unit… 3-1
Jul 21 Dewa Unit… vs Persik Ke… 3-0
Jul 14 Dewa Unit… vs Persib Ba… 2-2
Jul 02 Dewa Unit… vs Arema FC 1-0
Apr 15 Dewa Unit… vs Persebaya… 3-0
Mar 30 Dewa Unit… vs Persik Ke… 1-3
Mar 20 Dewa Unit… vs Persib Ba… 2-1
Persebaya Surabaya Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 23 Persebaya… vs Arema FC 3-1
Sep 17 Persebaya… vs Persepam … 3-0
Sep 03 Persebaya… vs Pusamania… 2-1
Aug 18 Persebaya… vs PSM Makas… 1-0
Aug 08 Persebaya… vs Bhayangka… 1-2
Apr 15 Persebaya… vs Dewa Unit… 3-0
Apr 11 Persebaya… vs Arema FC 1-0
Feb 24 Persebaya… vs PSM Makas… 0-1
Feb 18 Persebaya… vs Bali Unit… 4-0
Feb 03 Persebaya… vs Pusamania… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Persebaya Surabaya in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 15, 2023 Persebaya Surabaya 3 - 0 Dewa United Liga 1
Dec 24, 2022 Dewa United 1 - 2 Persebaya Surabaya Liga 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dewa United Power 0
Persebaya Surabaya Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Dewa United Position

-5

Position Gap

5

Persebaya Surabaya Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.