Serie B · Oct 19, 2024 20:00
Mirassol
PWR 57
Novorizontino
PWR 50
Mirassol
PWR 57
1 - 0
FT
Novorizontino
PWR 50
31% H
28% D
41% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (22%)
2-0 (16%)
0-0 (15%)
1-1 (9%)
3-0 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 37%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 5% = high draw riskElevated draw risk (28.2%) - consider AH
Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack49
Defense74
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G0.7
Attack39
Defense70
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G0.9
Mirassol Form
LDDLL
STABLE
Novorizontino Form
DWDWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.529%
BTTS26%
Under 2.571%
Mirassol Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Novorizonti… Goals
0
66%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Mirassolvs
0.42
NovorizontinoDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#21
Mirassol-19
Gap#2
Novorizonti…
WR 47% 26 pts
WR 41% 98 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirassol | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 26 |
| Novorizontino | 63 | 26 | 20 | 17 | 70 | 54 | 98 |
Mirassol
4.0%
| Oct 12 | Mirassol v Santos | 3-2 |
| Jul 02 | Mirassol v Novoriz… | 1-1 |
| Jun 26 | Mirassol v Santos | 0-0 |
| Mar 10 | Mirassol v São Ber… | 0-2 |
| Feb 24 | Mirassol v Palmeir… | 3-1 |
| Feb 11 | Mirassol v Santos | 2-2 |
| Jan 28 | Mirassol v Novoriz… | 1-1 |
| Jan 23 | Mirassol v São Pau… | 1-1 |
| Nov 25 | Mirassol v Tombense | 0-1 |
| Nov 18 | Mirassol v Athleti… | 4-1 |
Novorizontino
14.0%
| Sep 24 | Novoriz… v Santos | 1-1 |
| Sep 14 | Novoriz… v Botafogo | 2-0 |
| Aug 17 | Novoriz… v América… | 1-1 |
| Aug 04 | Novoriz… v Goiás | 2-1 |
| Jul 13 | Novoriz… v GuaranĂ… | 1-1 |
| Jul 02 | Novoriz… v Mirassol | 1-1 |
| Jun 08 | Novoriz… v Santos | 3-1 |
| May 28 | Novoriz… v Botafogo | 0-1 |
| Apr 27 | Novoriz… v América… | 2-0 |
| Mar 29 | Novoriz… v Palmeir… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Jul 02, 2024 | Novorizontino | 1-1 | Mirassol |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Mirassol | 1-1 | Novorizontino |
| Aug 11, 2023 | Novorizontino | 2-1 | Mirassol |
| May 03, 2023 | Mirassol | 0-2 | Novorizontino |
| Jan 30, 2022 | Novorizontino | 0-0 | Mirassol |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Mirassol | 0-1 | Novorizontino |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Novorizontino | 1-0 | Mirassol |
Key Factors
Mirassol struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.