Serie B · Jul 02, 2024 23:00
Novorizontino
PWR 50
Mirassol
PWR 57
Novorizontino
PWR 50
1 - 1
FT
Mirassol
PWR 57
57% H
23% D
20% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Novorizontino to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (18%)
3-0 (17%)
1-0 (13%)
2-1 (5%)
0-0 (5%)
3-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 5.4% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack39
Defense70
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G0.9
Attack49
Defense74
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G0.7
Novorizontino Form
WWLLW
STABLE
Mirassol Form
DLLDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.552%
BTTS22%
Under 2.548%
Novorizonti… Goals
0
6%
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
Mirassol Goals
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.76
Novorizontinovs
0.27
MirassolDecision Breakdown
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Novorizonti…+19
Gap#21
Mirassol
WR 41% 98 pts
WR 47% 26 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novorizontino | 63 | 26 | 20 | 17 | 70 | 54 | 98 |
| Mirassol | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 26 |
Novorizontino
12.0%
| Jun 08 | Novoriz… v Santos | 3-1 |
| May 28 | Novoriz… v Botafogo | 0-1 |
| Apr 27 | Novoriz… v América… | 2-0 |
| Mar 29 | Novoriz… v Palmeir… | 1-0 |
| Feb 18 | Novoriz… v Santos | 1-2 |
| Feb 13 | Novoriz… v GuaranĂ… | 2-0 |
| Jan 28 | Novoriz… v Mirassol | 1-1 |
| Jan 21 | Novoriz… v Palmeir… | 1-1 |
| Nov 25 | Novoriz… v Criciúma | 2-0 |
| Nov 18 | Novoriz… v Londrina | 0-1 |
Mirassol
6.0%
| Jun 26 | Mirassol v Santos | 0-0 |
| Mar 10 | Mirassol v São Ber… | 0-2 |
| Feb 24 | Mirassol v Palmeir… | 3-1 |
| Feb 11 | Mirassol v Santos | 2-2 |
| Jan 28 | Mirassol v Novoriz… | 1-1 |
| Jan 23 | Mirassol v São Pau… | 1-1 |
| Nov 25 | Mirassol v Tombense | 0-1 |
| Nov 18 | Mirassol v Athleti… | 4-1 |
| Sep 01 | Mirassol v Vitoria | 0-0 |
| Aug 11 | Mirassol v Novoriz… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Jan 28, 2024 | Mirassol | 1-1 | Novorizontino |
| Aug 11, 2023 | Novorizontino | 2-1 | Mirassol |
| May 03, 2023 | Mirassol | 0-2 | Novorizontino |
| Jan 30, 2022 | Novorizontino | 0-0 | Mirassol |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Mirassol | 0-1 | Novorizontino |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Novorizontino | 1-0 | Mirassol |
Key Factors
Novorizontino in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.