Serie B · May 03, 2023 22:00

Mirassol
PWR 57
0 - 2
FT

Novorizontino
PWR 50
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-2 (7%) 1-2 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 2-3 (5%) 1-3 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 5.4% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack49
Defense74
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G0.7
Attack39
Defense70
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G0.9
Mirassol Form DDLWL
STABLE
Novorizontino Form WLLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.575%
BTTS77%
Under 2.525%
Mirassol Goals
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Novorizonti… Goals
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.06
Mirassol
vs
2.15
Novorizontino
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#21
Mirassol
-19
Gap
#2
Novorizonti…
WR 47% 26 pts WR 41% 98 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Mirassol15753211126
Novorizontino63262017705498
Mirassol 8.0%
Mar 26 Mirassol v São Ber… 0-0
Feb 11 Mirassol v RB Brag… 0-0
Feb 02 Mirassol v Palmeir… 0-2
Jan 25 Mirassol v São Ber… 4-1
Jan 14 Mirassol v Santos 2-1
Aug 07 Mirassol v Vitoria 1-2
May 15 Mirassol v Remo 3-1
Mar 13 Mirassol v São Pau… 0-3
Mar 06 Mirassol v São Ber… 1-1
Feb 17 Mirassol v Santos 3-2
Novorizontino 6.0%
Feb 11 Novoriz… v Primave… 0-1
Sep 21 Novoriz… v Guaraní… 2-0
Jun 12 Novoriz… v Guaraní… 1-2
Mar 13 Novoriz… v Botafogo 2-1
Feb 27 Novoriz… v Santos 2-2
Feb 12 Novoriz… v Guaraní… 1-2
Jan 30 Novoriz… v Mirassol 0-0
Jan 23 Novoriz… v Palmeir… 0-2
Sep 25 Novoriz… v Mirassol 0-1
Sep 04 Novoriz… v Botafogo 1-4
Head-to-Head (3)
Jan 30, 2022 Novorizontino 0-0 Mirassol
Sep 25, 2021 Mirassol 0-1 Novorizontino
Jul 24, 2021 Novorizontino 1-0 Mirassol
Key Factors
Novorizontino struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.