Alagoano · Jan 11, 2025 19:00
Penedense
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT

Murici FC
PWR 35
49% H 24% D 27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (13%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 0-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Penedense Form LDWDD
STABLE
Murici FC Form LDWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.548%
BTTS46%
Under 2.552%
Penedense Goals
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Murici FC Goals
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Penedense
vs
0.78
Murici FC
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Penedense
-1
Gap
#7
Murici FC
WR 0% 0 pts WR 0% 0 pts
Penedense 10.0%
Apr 04 Peneden… v CSA 0-1
Mar 31 Peneden… v CSA 1-1
Mar 24 Peneden… v Coruripe 1-0
Mar 21 Peneden… v Coruripe 0-0
Mar 06 Peneden… v Murici … 0-0
Mar 02 Peneden… v Murici … 0-0
Feb 24 Peneden… v CSA 1-1
Feb 21 Peneden… v ASA 0-0
Feb 18 Peneden… v ASA 1-2
Feb 14 Peneden… v CSA 2-1
Murici FC 6.0%
Mar 26 Murici … v CSA 0-3
Mar 23 Murici … v CSA 3-3
Mar 19 Murici … v CRB II 3-0
Mar 16 Murici … v CRB 3-0
Mar 09 Murici … v CRB 1-2
Mar 06 Murici … v Peneden… 0-0
Mar 02 Murici … v Peneden… 0-0
Feb 24 Murici … v ASA 2-2
Feb 21 Murici … v Coruripe 0-0
Feb 17 Murici … v CSA 0-0
Head-to-Head (2)
Mar 06, 2024 Penedense 0-0 Murici FC
Mar 02, 2024 Murici FC 0-0 Penedense
Key Factors
Murici FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.