AI Match Insights

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UEFA Champions League Women Mar 27, 2025

Chelsea Women

Home
VS
20:00

Manchester City Women

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Chelsea Women Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Manchester City Women Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 15%
xG: 2.45 - 0.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Chelsea Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Manchester City Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 3-0 (12%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Chelsea Women Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 23 Chelsea W… vs Mancheste… 1-2
Mar 19 Chelsea W… vs Mancheste… 2-0
Mar 15 Chelsea W… vs Mancheste… 2-1
Mar 09 Chelsea W… vs Crystal P… 1-0
Mar 02 Chelsea W… vs Brighton … 2-2
Feb 16 Chelsea W… vs Everton W… 2-1
Feb 09 Chelsea W… vs Everton W… 4-1
Feb 05 Chelsea W… vs West Ham … 2-0
Jan 26 Chelsea W… vs Arsenal W… 1-0
Jan 19 Chelsea W… vs West Ham … 0-5
Manchester City Women Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 23 Mancheste… vs Chelsea W… 1-2
Mar 19 Mancheste… vs Chelsea W… 2-0
Mar 15 Mancheste… vs Chelsea W… 2-1
Mar 09 Mancheste… vs Aston Vil… 2-0
Feb 09 Mancheste… vs Leicester… 3-1
Feb 06 Mancheste… vs Arsenal W… 1-2
Feb 02 Mancheste… vs Arsenal W… 3-4
Jan 25 Mancheste… vs Aston Vil… 2-4
Jan 22 Mancheste… vs Mancheste… 1-2
Jan 19 Mancheste… vs Mancheste… 2-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • Chelsea Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Manchester City Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 23, 2025 Manchester City Wom… 1 - 2 Chelsea Women FA WSL
Mar 19, 2025 Manchester City Wom… 2 - 0 Chelsea Women UEFA Champions…
Mar 15, 2025 Chelsea Women 2 - 1 Manchester City Wom… WSL Cup
Nov 16, 2024 Chelsea Women 2 - 0 Manchester City Wom… FA WSL
Mar 07, 2024 Manchester City Wom… 0 - 1 Chelsea Women WSL Cup
Feb 16, 2024 Chelsea Women 0 - 1 Manchester City Wom… FA WSL
Oct 08, 2023 Manchester City Wom… 1 - 1 Chelsea Women FA WSL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Chelsea Women to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Chelsea Women Power 44
Manchester City Women Power 57
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.