AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA WSL Nov 16, 2024

Chelsea Women

Home
VS
17:30

Manchester City Women

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Chelsea Women Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Manchester City Women Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 1.36 - 1.21
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Chelsea Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Manchester City Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (13%) 1-0 (10%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 1-2 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Chelsea Women Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 13 Chelsea W… vs Celtic Wo… 1-2
Nov 10 Chelsea W… vs Liverpool… 0-3
Nov 03 Chelsea W… vs Everton W… 0-5
Oct 12 Chelsea W… vs Arsenal W… 1-2
Sep 27 Chelsea W… vs Crystal P… 0-7
May 01 Chelsea W… vs Liverpool… 4-3
Apr 27 Chelsea W… vs Barcelona… 0-2
Apr 20 Chelsea W… vs Barcelona… 0-1
Mar 31 Chelsea W… vs Arsenal W… 1-0
Mar 24 Chelsea W… vs West Ham … 0-2
Manchester City Women Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 20 Mancheste… vs Aston Vil… 2-1
May 18 Mancheste… vs Aston Vil… 1-2
Mar 23 Mancheste… vs Mancheste… 3-1
Mar 07 Mancheste… vs Chelsea W… 0-1
Mar 02 Mancheste… vs Everton W… 2-1
Feb 16 Mancheste… vs Chelsea W… 0-1
Feb 04 Mancheste… vs Leicester… 2-0
Jan 24 Mancheste… vs Mancheste… 2-1
Dec 17 Mancheste… vs Everton W… 1-4
Dec 09 Mancheste… vs Aston Vil… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Chelsea Women in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
  • Manchester City Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 07, 2024 Manchester City Wom… 0 - 1 Chelsea Women WSL Cup
Feb 16, 2024 Chelsea Women 0 - 1 Manchester City Wom… FA WSL
Oct 08, 2023 Manchester City Wom… 1 - 1 Chelsea Women FA WSL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Chelsea Women to win (51% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 51% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Chelsea Women Power 44
Manchester City Women Power 57
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Chelsea Women Position

-1

Position Gap

1

Manchester City Women Position
Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 83%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.