AI Match Insights

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FA WSL Feb 16, 2024

Chelsea Women

Home
VS
19:15

Manchester City Women

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Chelsea Women Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Manchester City Women Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 1.84 - 0.96
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 1.0
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Chelsea Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Manchester City Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (11%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (6%) 0-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Chelsea Women Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 11 Chelsea W… vs Crystal P… 1-0
Feb 04 Chelsea W… vs Everton W… 3-0
Jan 27 Chelsea W… vs Brighton … 0-3
Jan 14 Chelsea W… vs West Ham … 3-1
Dec 10 Chelsea W… vs Arsenal W… 4-1
Nov 18 Chelsea W… vs Liverpool… 5-1
Nov 12 Chelsea W… vs Everton W… 0-3
Oct 22 Chelsea W… vs Brighton … 4-2
Oct 14 Chelsea W… vs West Ham … 2-0
Oct 08 Chelsea W… vs Mancheste… 1-1
Manchester City Women Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Mancheste… vs Leicester… 2-0
Jan 24 Mancheste… vs Mancheste… 2-1
Dec 17 Mancheste… vs Everton W… 1-4
Dec 09 Mancheste… vs Aston Vil… 2-1
Nov 22 Mancheste… vs Leicester… 2-2
Nov 19 Mancheste… vs Mancheste… 1-3
Oct 21 Mancheste… vs Leicester… 0-1
Oct 11 Mancheste… vs Everton W… 1-2
Oct 08 Mancheste… vs Chelsea W… 1-1
May 27 Mancheste… vs Everton W… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Chelsea Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Manchester City Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 08, 2023 Manchester City Wom… 1 - 1 Chelsea Women FA WSL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Chelsea Women to win (51% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 51% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Chelsea Women Power 44
Manchester City Women Power 57
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Chelsea Women Position

-1

Position Gap

1

Manchester City Women Position
Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 83%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.