AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Feb 23, 2025

León FC

Home
VS
01:00

Tigres UANL

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
León FC Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Tigres UANL Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.77 - 0.58
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.6
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
León FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Tigres UANL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
56%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (10%) 0-0 (10%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
León FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 06 León FC vs Pachuca 1-2
Sep 28 León FC vs Tigres UA… 2-2
Sep 15 León FC vs Cruz Azul 1-2
Jul 17 León FC vs Puebla 2-2
Jul 13 León FC vs Pachuca 0-0
Jul 07 León FC vs U.N.A.M. … 4-1
Apr 27 León FC vs FC Juarez 1-1
Apr 20 León FC vs Monterrey 2-0
Apr 15 León FC vs U.N.A.M. … 1-0
Mar 17 León FC vs Puebla 2-1
Tigres UANL Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 16 Tigres UA… vs Cruz Azul 2-1
Feb 02 Tigres UA… vs Toluca 1-0
Jan 11 Tigres UA… vs Atletico … 1-3
Dec 02 Tigres UA… vs Atletico … 0-0
Nov 29 Tigres UA… vs Atletico … 3-0
Nov 10 Tigres UA… vs Cruz Azul 1-1
Nov 07 Tigres UA… vs Toluca 2-1
Sep 28 Tigres UA… vs León FC 2-2
Sep 14 Tigres UA… vs Atletico … 1-0
Sep 01 Tigres UA… vs U.N.A.M. … 1-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 28, 2024 Tigres UANL 2 - 2 León FC Liga MX
Jan 18, 2024 León FC 1 - 2 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Jul 16, 2023 Tigres UANL 1 - 0 León FC Liga MX
May 04, 2023 León FC 3 - 1 Tigres UANL CONCACAF Champ…
May 01, 2023 León FC 3 - 0 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Apr 26, 2023 Tigres UANL 2 - 1 León FC CONCACAF Champ…
Sep 11, 2022 Tigres UANL 0 - 1 León FC Liga MX
Mar 12, 2022 León FC 0 - 3 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
León FC Power 0
Tigres UANL Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

León FC Position

-5

Position Gap

7

Tigres UANL Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.