AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Mar 12, 2022

León FC

Home
VS
23:00

Tigres UANL

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
León FC Win
38.0%
Draw
26.4%
Tigres UANL Win
35.6%
Home Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 1.41 - 0.66
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.7
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
León FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Tigres UANL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 0-0 (13%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
León FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 13 León FC vs U.N.A.M. … 2-1
Jan 23 León FC vs Pachuca 2-1
Oct 21 León FC vs U.N.A.M. … 1-2
Sep 16 León FC vs U.N.A.M. … 2-0
Aug 06 León FC vs Querétaro 0-1
Jul 24 León FC vs Pachuca 4-0
May 02 León FC vs Querétaro 2-1
Jan 19 León FC vs Pachuca 0-0
Tigres UANL Form 17.5%
Date Match Result
Feb 20 Tigres UA… vs Atletico … 2-1
Jan 23 Tigres UA… vs U.N.A.M. … 1-2
Jan 13 Tigres UA… vs Santos La… 1-1
Nov 29 Tigres UA… vs Santos La… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • León FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Tigres UANL in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
León FC Power 0
Tigres UANL Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

León FC Position

-5

Position Gap

7

Tigres UANL Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.