AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
NPFL Jul 18, 2021

Warri Wolves

Home
VS
15:00

Kwara United

Away
AI Predictions 40.7% Confidence
Warri Wolves Win
31.7%
Draw
27.7%
Kwara United Win
40.7%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 16%
xG: 4.34 - 0.38
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.3 vs 0.4 Position gap: 9 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Warri Wolves Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
Kwara United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (5%) 1-0 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Warri Wolves Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 27 Warri Wol… vs Enugu Ran… 0-1
May 30 Warri Wol… vs Katsina U… 1-0
Mar 14 Warri Wol… vs Wikki Tou… 1-0
Feb 28 Warri Wol… vs Kwara Uni… 2-0
Feb 07 Warri Wol… vs Enugu Ran… 1-0
Jan 13 Warri Wol… vs Katsina U… 3-0
Kwara United Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 26 Kwara Uni… vs Rivers Un… 1-1
Feb 28 Kwara Uni… vs Warri Wol… 2-0
Jan 10 Kwara Uni… vs Rivers Un… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Warri Wolves struggling (5L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 28, 2021 Kwara United 2 - 0 Warri Wolves NPFL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Warri Wolves to win (62% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 62% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Warri Wolves Power 0
Kwara United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Warri Wolves Position

+9

Position Gap

18

Kwara United Position
Home Win Rate: 42%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.