Super League · Aug 06, 2023 14:30

FC St. Gallen
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT

FC Luzern
PWR 35
41% H 26% D 33% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: FC St. Gallen to win (81% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
81%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 1-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 50%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy56%
POINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elevated draw risk (26.1%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
FC St. Gallen Form LWWDD
STABLE
FC Luzern Form WDWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.566%
BTTS60%
Under 2.534%
FC St. Gall… Goals
0
6%
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
FC Luzern Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.76
FC St. Gallen
vs
1.01
FC Luzern
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum90%
Standings74%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
FC St. Gall…
+7
Gap
#10
FC Luzern
WR 55% 39 pts WR 33% 24 pts
FC St. Gallen 12.0%
Jul 29 FC St. … v FC Luga… 1-0
Jul 22 FC St. … v FC Base… 2-1
May 29 FC St. … v FC Sion 4-0
May 25 FC St. … v Grassho… 2-2
May 20 FC St. … v FC Luze… 1-1
May 14 FC St. … v FC Base… 6-1
Apr 29 FC St. … v Servett… 1-1
Apr 26 FC St. … v FC Luga… 1-2
Apr 23 FC St. … v FC Zuri… 1-0
Apr 16 FC St. … v FC Wint… 2-3
FC Luzern 14.0%
Jul 30 FC Luze… v Stade L… 2-1
Jul 22 FC Luze… v FC Wint… 0-0
Jul 08 FC Luze… v SCR Alt… 0-2
May 29 FC Luze… v Servett… 0-1
May 25 FC Luze… v FC Sion 1-2
May 20 FC Luze… v FC St. … 1-1
May 07 FC Luze… v FC Luga… 2-2
Apr 30 FC Luze… v BSC You… 5-1
Apr 27 FC Luze… v FC Wint… 3-1
Apr 23 FC Luze… v FC Base… 0-2
Head-to-Head (3)
May 20, 2023 FC Luzern 1-1 FC St. Gallen
Feb 19, 2023 FC St. Gallen 2-2 FC Luzern
Oct 19, 2022 FC Luzern 3-3 FC St. Gallen
Key Factors
FC Luzern in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.