Ligue 1 · Oct 19, 2024 19:00
Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
Strasbourg
PWR 39
Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
4 - 2
FT
Strasbourg
PWR 39
61% H
22% D
17% A
Final Verdict
Paris Saint Germain Win
Prediction
5-2
Score
73%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
3-2 (4%)
3-3 (4%)
3-1 (3%)
2-2 (3%)
2-3 (3%)
2-1 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 4-2
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 73%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy68%
HOME_WIN_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdâś“ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (4 rules, 73% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack65
Defense76
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G0.8
Attack50
Defense63
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.3
Paris Saint Ge… Form
WWWWW
UP
Strasbourg Form
DDWDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.566%
BTTS92%
Under 2.534%
Paris Saint… Goals
0
1%
1
6%
2
12%
3
18%
4
19%
Strasbourg Goals
0
6%
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.32
Paris Saint Ge…vs
2.75
StrasbourgDecision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum88%
Standings72%
Market50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Paris Saint…+6
Gap#7
Strasbourg
WR 89% 48 pts
WR 30% 30 pts
Paris Saint Ge…
20.0%
| Sep 27 | Paris S… v Rennes … | 3-1 |
| Sep 01 | Paris S… v Lille | 1-3 |
| Aug 16 | Paris S… v LE Havr… | 1-4 |
| May 25 | Paris S… v Lyon | 1-2 |
| May 19 | Paris S… v Metz | 0-2 |
| May 15 | Paris S… v Nice | 1-2 |
| May 12 | Paris S… v Toulouse | 1-3 |
| May 07 | Paris S… v Borussi… | 0-1 |
| May 01 | Paris S… v Borussi… | 1-0 |
| Apr 27 | Paris S… v LE Havr… | 3-3 |
Strasbourg
12.0%
| Oct 06 | Strasbo… v Lens | 2-2 |
| Oct 06 | Strasbo… v Lens | 2-2 |
| Sep 29 | Strasbo… v Marseil… | 1-0 |
| Sep 21 | Strasbo… v Lille | 3-3 |
| Sep 21 | Strasbo… v Lille | 3-3 |
| Sep 15 | Strasbo… v Angers | 1-1 |
| Aug 30 | Strasbo… v Lyon | 4-3 |
| Aug 25 | Strasbo… v Rennes … | 3-1 |
| Aug 18 | Strasbo… v Montpel… | 1-1 |
| May 19 | Strasbo… v Lyon | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Feb 02, 2024 | Strasbourg | 1-2 | Paris Saint G… |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Paris Saint G… | 3-0 | Strasbourg |
| May 27, 2023 | Strasbourg | 1-1 | Paris Saint G… |
| Dec 28, 2022 | Paris Saint G… | 2-1 | Strasbourg |
| Apr 29, 2022 | Strasbourg | 3-3 | Paris Saint G… |
| Aug 14, 2021 | Paris Saint G… | 4-2 | Strasbourg |
| Apr 10, 2021 | Strasbourg | 1-4 | Paris Saint G… |
Key Factors
Paris Saint Germain in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.