Ligue 1 · Feb 02, 2024 20:00
Strasbourg
PWR 39
Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
Strasbourg
PWR 39
1 - 2
FT
Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
3-0 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
1-0 (7%)
1-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Strong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 3.6% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack50
Defense63
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.3
Attack65
Defense76
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G0.8
Strasbourg Form
DWDWW
STABLE
Paris Saint Ge… Form
WDDWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.565%
BTTS59%
Under 2.535%
Strasbourg Goals
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
15%
Paris Saint… Goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.66
Strasbourgvs
1.00
Paris Saint Ge…Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum89%
Standings38%
Market50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Strasbourg-6
Gap#1
Paris Saint…
WR 60% 30 pts
WR 64% 48 pts
Strasbourg
16.0%
| Jan 28 | Strasbo… v Clermont | 1-1 |
| Jan 21 | Strasbo… v Clermont | 1-3 |
| Jan 12 | Strasbo… v Marseil… | 1-1 |
| Dec 20 | Strasbo… v Lille | 2-1 |
| Dec 20 | Strasbo… v Lille | 2-1 |
| Dec 17 | Strasbo… v Lorient | 1-2 |
| Dec 17 | Strasbo… v Lorient | 1-2 |
| Dec 10 | Strasbo… v LE Havr… | 2-1 |
| Dec 10 | Strasbo… v LE Havr… | 2-1 |
| Dec 07 | Strasbo… v Stade B… | 1-1 |
Paris Saint Ge…
14.0%
| Dec 20 | Paris S… v Metz | 3-1 |
| Dec 17 | Paris S… v Lille | 1-1 |
| Dec 13 | Paris S… v Borussi… | 1-1 |
| Dec 03 | Paris S… v LE Havr… | 0-2 |
| Nov 28 | Paris S… v Newcast… | 1-1 |
| Nov 24 | Paris S… v Monaco | 5-2 |
| Oct 21 | Paris S… v Strasbo… | 3-0 |
| Oct 08 | Paris S… v Rennes … | 1-3 |
| Oct 04 | Paris S… v Newcast… | 4-1 |
| Sep 24 | Paris S… v Marseil… | 4-0 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Oct 21, 2023 | Paris Saint G… | 3-0 | Strasbourg |
| May 27, 2023 | Strasbourg | 1-1 | Paris Saint G… |
| Dec 28, 2022 | Paris Saint G… | 2-1 | Strasbourg |
| Apr 29, 2022 | Strasbourg | 3-3 | Paris Saint G… |
| Aug 14, 2021 | Paris Saint G… | 4-2 | Strasbourg |
| Apr 10, 2021 | Strasbourg | 1-4 | Paris Saint G… |
Key Factors
Strasbourg in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.