AI Match Insights

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Ligue 1 May 27, 2023

Strasbourg

Home
VS
19:00

Paris Saint Germain

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Strasbourg Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Paris Saint Germain Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 1.58 - 1.01
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 1.0
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Strasbourg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
Paris Saint Germain Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 0-1 (8%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Strasbourg Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
May 13 Strasbourg vs Nice 2-0
Apr 07 Strasbourg vs Lens 2-1
Apr 02 Strasbourg vs Monaco 4-3
Mar 05 Strasbourg vs Stade Breā€¦ 0-1
Feb 12 Strasbourg vs Lille 2-0
Jan 29 Strasbourg vs Toulouse 1-2
Jan 11 Strasbourg vs Lens 2-2
Dec 28 Strasbourg vs Paris Saiā€¦ 2-1
Nov 13 Strasbourg vs Lorient 1-1
Oct 23 Strasbourg vs Toulouse 2-2
Paris Saint Germain Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 21 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Auxerre 1-2
Mar 19 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Rennes FC 0-2
Feb 26 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Marseille 0-3
Feb 19 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Lille 4-3
Feb 11 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Monaco 3-1
Feb 08 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Marseille 2-1
Jan 15 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Rennes FC 1-0
Dec 28 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Strasbourg 2-1
Dec 16 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Paris FC 2-1
Nov 13 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Auxerre 5-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Paris Saint Germain in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Strasbourg struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 28, 2022 Paris Saint Germain 2 - 1 Strasbourg Ligue 1
Apr 29, 2022 Strasbourg 3 - 3 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Aug 14, 2021 Paris Saint Germain 4 - 2 Strasbourg Ligue 1
Apr 10, 2021 Strasbourg 1 - 4 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Strasbourg Power 39
Paris Saint Germain Power 49
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Strasbourg Position

-6

Position Gap

1

Paris Saint Germain Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 64%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.