AI Match Insights

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Ligue 1 Dec 28, 2022

Paris Saint Germain

Home
VS
20:00

Strasbourg

Away
AI Predictions 63.0% Confidence
Paris Saint Germain Win
63.0%
Draw
21.4%
Strasbourg Win
15.6%
Home Win (63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 2.29 - 0.26
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.3 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Paris Saint Germain Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Strasbourg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
77%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 1-0 (18%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
Paris Saint Germain Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 16 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Paris FC 2-1
Nov 13 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Auxerre 5-0
Oct 16 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Marseille 1-0
Aug 28 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Monaco 1-1
Aug 21 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Lille 1-7
May 21 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Metz 5-0
Apr 29 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Strasbourg 3-3
Apr 17 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Marseille 2-1
Mar 20 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Monaco 3-0
Feb 11 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Rennes FC 1-0
Strasbourg Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 13 Strasbourg vs Lorient 1-1
Oct 23 Strasbourg vs Toulouse 2-2
Oct 14 Strasbourg vs Lille 0-3
Sep 04 Strasbourg vs Stade Breā€¦ 1-1
Aug 14 Strasbourg vs Nice 1-1
Aug 06 Strasbourg vs Monaco 1-2
May 07 Strasbourg vs Stade Breā€¦ 0-1
Apr 29 Strasbourg vs Paris Saiā€¦ 3-3
Apr 24 Strasbourg vs Lille 1-0
Apr 03 Strasbourg vs Lens 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Paris Saint Germain in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 29, 2022 Strasbourg 3 - 3 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Aug 14, 2021 Paris Saint Germain 4 - 2 Strasbourg Ligue 1
Apr 10, 2021 Strasbourg 1 - 4 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Final Verdict

PRO: Paris Saint Germain to win (71% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 71% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Paris Saint Germain Power 49
Strasbourg Power 39
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Paris Saint Germain Position

+6

Position Gap

7

Strasbourg Position
Home Win Rate: 89%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.