AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Apr 29, 2022

Strasbourg

Home
VS
19:00

Paris Saint Germain

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Strasbourg Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Paris Saint Germain Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 1.85 - 0.43
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.4
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Strasbourg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Paris Saint Germain Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
65%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Strasbourg Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 24 Strasbourg vs Lille 1-0
Apr 03 Strasbourg vs Lens 1-0
Mar 20 Strasbourg vs Lorient 0-0
Mar 13 Strasbourg vs Monaco 1-0
Feb 26 Strasbourg vs Nice 0-0
Jan 09 Strasbourg vs Metz 0-2
Dec 05 Strasbourg vs Nice 0-3
Nov 28 Strasbourg vs Monaco 1-1
Oct 31 Strasbourg vs Lorient 4-0
Sep 25 Strasbourg vs Lille 1-2
Paris Saint Germain Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 17 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Marseille 2-1
Mar 20 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Monaco 3-0
Feb 11 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Rennes FC 1-0
Feb 06 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Lille 1-5
Dec 12 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Monaco 2-0
Oct 29 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Lille 2-1
Oct 03 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Rennes FC 2-0
Sep 22 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Metz 1-2
Aug 14 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Strasbourg 4-2
May 19 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Monaco 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Paris Saint Germain in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 14, 2021 Paris Saint Germain 4 - 2 Strasbourg Ligue 1
Apr 10, 2021 Strasbourg 1 - 4 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Strasbourg Power 39
Paris Saint Germain Power 49
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Strasbourg Position

-6

Position Gap

1

Paris Saint Germain Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 64%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.