Predictions Match Details
Ligue 1 · Aug 14, 2021 19:00

Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
4 - 2
FT

Strasbourg
PWR 39
57% H 23% D 20% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Paris Saint Germain to win (81% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
81%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-2
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 68%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy73%
POINTS_GAPHOME_FORMAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack65
Defense76
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G0.8
Attack50
Defense63
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.3
Paris Saint Ge… Form WDWWW
STABLE
Strasbourg Form DWLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.538%
BTTS32%
Under 2.562%
Paris Saint… Goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
Strasbourg Goals
0
61%
1
30%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Paris Saint Ge…
vs
0.50
Strasbourg
Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum83%
Standings70%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Paris Saint…
+5
Gap
#7
Strasbourg
WR 89% 48 pts WR 30% 30 pts
Paris Saint Ge… 18.0%
May 19 Paris S… v Monaco 0-2
May 09 Paris S… v Rennes … 1-1
Apr 24 Paris S… v Metz 1-3
Apr 10 Paris S… v Strasbo… 1-4
Sep 16 Paris S… v Metz 1-0
Jul 12 Paris S… v LE Havr… 0-9
Strasbourg 10.0%
May 23 Strasbo… v Lorient 1-1
May 16 Strasbo… v Nice 0-2
Apr 10 Strasbo… v Paris S… 1-4
Mar 21 Strasbo… v Lens 1-2
Mar 03 Strasbo… v Monaco 1-0
Feb 28 Strasbo… v Lille 1-1
Feb 14 Strasbo… v Metz 1-2
Feb 03 Strasbo… v Stade B… 2-2
Jan 09 Strasbo… v Lens 0-1
Dec 13 Strasbo… v Metz 2-2
Head-to-Head (1)
Apr 10, 2021 Strasbourg 1-4 Paris Saint G…
Key Factors
Paris Saint Germain in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.