AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
3. Liga Nov 23, 2024

Verl

Home
VS
13:00

Stuttgart II

Away
AI Predictions 37.5% Confidence
Verl Win
37.5%
Draw
26.5%
Stuttgart II Win
36.0%
Home Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 82%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.12 - 0.29
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.3 Position gap: 11 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Verl Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Stuttgart II Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
75%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 0-0 (24%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (8%) 0-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Under 2.5 Goals 83%
Verl Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 23 Verl vs Rot-Weiß … 1-3
Sep 22 Verl vs FC Viktor… 2-1
Aug 25 Verl vs Waldhof M… 1-1
Aug 03 Verl vs SV Wehen 2-2
May 18 Verl vs SSV Ulm 1… 4-2
May 12 Verl vs Preussen … 2-0
May 04 Verl vs Dynamo Dr… 0-1
Apr 27 Verl vs Waldhof M… 1-1
Apr 20 Verl vs Hallesche… 1-0
Mar 10 Verl vs Rot-Weiß … 1-1
Stuttgart II Form 12.5%
Date Match Result
Oct 06 Stuttgart… vs VfL Osnab… 1-0
Sep 14 Stuttgart… vs FC Ingols… 3-2
Aug 11 Stuttgart… vs TSV 1860 … 3-1
Aug 03 Stuttgart… vs Hansa Ros… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

ELITE: Verl to win (95% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 2-0 95% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_15+ SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Verl Power 70
Stuttgart II Power 46
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Verl Position

+11

Position Gap

13

Stuttgart II Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.