Azerbaijan Premier League · Mar 28, 2025 15:30
Turan Tovuz
PWR 35
Qarabağ FK
PWR 35
Turan Tovuz
PWR 35
1 - 4
FT
Qarabağ FK
PWR 35
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Turan Tovuz to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (14%)
1-1 (12%)
0-2 (11%)
1-2 (9%)
0-0 (9%)
1-0 (8%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-4
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
HOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Turan Tovuz Form
LDWLW
STABLE
Qarabağ FK Form
DWWDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.542%
BTTS45%
Under 2.558%
Turan Tovuz Goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Qarabağ FK Goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Turan Tovuzvs
1.56
Qarabağ FKDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum40%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Turan Tovuz-1
Gap#2
Qarabağ FK
WR 50% 30 pts
WR 71% 39 pts
Turan Tovuz
10.0%
| Mar 16 | Turan T… v Sumqayıt | 1-2 |
| Mar 10 | Turan T… v Neftchi… | 1-1 |
| Feb 16 | Turan T… v Araz | 1-0 |
| Feb 09 | Turan T… v Sabah FA | 2-1 |
| Jan 26 | Turan T… v Qarabağ… | 1-2 |
| Jan 19 | Turan T… v Kəpəz | 5-2 |
| Dec 21 | Turan T… v Neftchi… | 1-1 |
| Dec 03 | Turan T… v Sabah FA | 2-2 |
| Nov 29 | Turan T… v Araz | 1-0 |
| Nov 24 | Turan T… v Sabah FA | 1-1 |
Qarabağ FK
16.0%
| Mar 15 | Qarabağ… v Kəpəz | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Qarabağ… v Araz | 1-3 |
| Mar 03 | Qarabağ… v Sumqayıt | 0-2 |
| Feb 22 | Qarabağ… v Sabah FA | 1-1 |
| Feb 16 | Qarabağ… v Neftchi… | 0-1 |
| Feb 02 | Qarabağ… v Zira | 3-2 |
| Jan 26 | Qarabağ… v Turan T… | 1-2 |
| Jan 17 | Qarabağ… v Şamaxı | 3-2 |
| Dec 22 | Qarabağ… v Araz | 2-0 |
| Dec 19 | Qarabağ… v Şamaxı | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Jan 26, 2025 | Qarabağ FK | 1-2 | Turan Tovuz |
| Nov 01, 2024 | Turan Tovuz | 0-0 | Qarabağ FK |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Qarabağ FK | 0-1 | Turan Tovuz |
| May 17, 2024 | Qarabağ FK | 4-3 | Turan Tovuz |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Turan Tovuz | 1-3 | Qarabağ FK |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Turan Tovuz | 2-2 | Qarabağ FK |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Qarabağ FK | 3-0 | Turan Tovuz |
| May 28, 2023 | Qarabağ FK | 3-1 | Turan Tovuz |
Key Factors
Qarabağ FK in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.