Azerbaijan Premier League · Jan 26, 2025 14:30
Qarabağ FK
PWR 35
Turan Tovuz
PWR 35
Qarabağ FK
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT
Turan Tovuz
PWR 35
65% H
21% D
14% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Qarabağ FK to win (79% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
79%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (9%)
2-0 (6%)
3-1 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
1-0 (3%)
1-1 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 8.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Qarabağ FK Form
WWWWD
UP
Turan Tovuz Form
LDDLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.558%
BTTS44%
Under 2.542%
Qarabağ FK Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Turan Tovuz Goals
0
56%
1
33%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Qarabağ FKvs
0.58
Turan TovuzDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings54%
Market50%
League Standings
#2
Qarabağ FK+1
Gap#3
Turan Tovuz
WR 64% 39 pts
WR 56% 30 pts
Qarabağ FK
18.0%
| Jan 17 | Qarabağ… v Şamaxı | 3-2 |
| Dec 22 | Qarabağ… v Araz | 2-0 |
| Dec 19 | Qarabağ… v Şamaxı | 0-1 |
| Dec 16 | Qarabağ… v Sumqayıt | 5-0 |
| Dec 07 | Qarabağ… v Sabah FA | 1-1 |
| Dec 04 | Qarabağ… v Qabala | 0-2 |
| Dec 01 | Qarabağ… v Neftchi… | 0-3 |
| Nov 10 | Qarabağ… v Zira | 4-0 |
| Nov 01 | Qarabağ… v Turan T… | 0-0 |
| Oct 27 | Qarabağ… v Şamaxı | 3-0 |
Turan Tovuz
6.0%
| Jan 19 | Turan T… v Kəpəz | 5-2 |
| Dec 21 | Turan T… v Neftchi… | 1-1 |
| Dec 03 | Turan T… v Sabah FA | 2-2 |
| Nov 29 | Turan T… v Araz | 1-0 |
| Nov 24 | Turan T… v Sabah FA | 1-1 |
| Nov 01 | Turan T… v Qarabağ… | 0-0 |
| Oct 25 | Turan T… v Kəpəz | 2-1 |
| Oct 20 | Turan T… v Sumqayıt | 2-4 |
| Sep 21 | Turan T… v Araz | 1-2 |
| Sep 15 | Turan T… v Sabah FA | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Nov 01, 2024 | Turan Tovuz | 0-0 | Qarabağ FK |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Qarabağ FK | 0-1 | Turan Tovuz |
| May 17, 2024 | Qarabağ FK | 4-3 | Turan Tovuz |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Turan Tovuz | 1-3 | Qarabağ FK |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Turan Tovuz | 2-2 | Qarabağ FK |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Qarabağ FK | 3-0 | Turan Tovuz |
| May 28, 2023 | Qarabağ FK | 3-1 | Turan Tovuz |
Key Factors
Qarabağ FK in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.