Predictions Match Details
Azerbaijan Premier League · May 17, 2024 16:30

Qarabağ FK
PWR 35
4 - 3
FT

Turan Tovuz
PWR 35
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Qarabağ FK to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (13%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 8% = high draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff 8%, pos gap 2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Qarabağ FK Form WWLWD
STABLE
Turan Tovuz Form WLLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.561%
BTTS39%
Under 2.539%
Qarabağ FK Goals
0
4%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Turan Tovuz Goals
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.12
Qarabağ FK
vs
0.53
Turan Tovuz
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings55%
Market50%
League Standings
#2
Qarabağ FK
+2
Gap
#4
Turan Tovuz
WR 64% 39 pts WR 56% 30 pts
Qarabağ FK 14.0%
May 11 Qarabağ… v Zira 0-1
May 04 Qarabağ… v Neftchi… 5-0
Apr 28 Qarabağ… v Sumqayıt 1-0
Apr 24 Qarabağ… v Neftchi… 4-1
Apr 20 Qarabağ… v Qabala 2-2
Apr 14 Qarabağ… v Sabah FA 3-2
Apr 02 Qarabağ… v Neftchi… 0-4
Mar 29 Qarabağ… v Kəpəz 1-6
Mar 17 Qarabağ… v Turan T… 1-3
Mar 14 Qarabağ… v Bayer L… 3-2
Turan Tovuz 12.0%
May 11 Turan T… v Araz 0-1
Apr 28 Turan T… v Neftchi… 3-0
Apr 19 Turan T… v Sumqayıt 1-4
Apr 13 Turan T… v Qabala 1-2
Apr 06 Turan T… v Sabah FA 2-0
Mar 17 Turan T… v Qarabağ… 1-3
Mar 10 Turan T… v Araz 2-0
Feb 24 Turan T… v Neftchi… 1-1
Feb 18 Turan T… v Sumqayıt 0-0
Feb 13 Turan T… v Qabala 2-1
Head-to-Head (4)
Mar 17, 2024 Turan Tovuz 1-3 Qarabağ FK
Oct 20, 2023 Turan Tovuz 2-2 Qarabağ FK
Aug 13, 2023 Qarabağ FK 3-0 Turan Tovuz
May 28, 2023 Qarabağ FK 3-1 Turan Tovuz
Key Factors
Qarabağ FK in strong form (3W in last 5)
Turan Tovuz in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.