Azerbaijan Premier League · Mar 17, 2024 12:00
Turan Tovuz
PWR 35
Qarabağ FK
PWR 35
Turan Tovuz
PWR 35
1 - 3
FT
Qarabağ FK
PWR 35
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Turan Tovuz to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-2 (6%)
2-3 (5%)
3-2 (5%)
1-2 (5%)
2-1 (5%)
3-3 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
HOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Turan Tovuz Form
WDDWD
STABLE
Qarabağ FK Form
LWDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.579%
BTTS85%
Under 2.521%
Turan Tovuz Goals
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Qarabağ FK Goals
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.54
Turan Tovuzvs
2.55
Qarabağ FKDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Turan Tovuz-1
Gap#2
Qarabağ FK
WR 50% 30 pts
WR 71% 39 pts
Turan Tovuz
14.0%
| Mar 10 | Turan T… v Araz | 2-0 |
| Feb 24 | Turan T… v Neftchi… | 1-1 |
| Feb 18 | Turan T… v Sumqayıt | 0-0 |
| Feb 13 | Turan T… v Qabala | 2-1 |
| Feb 03 | Turan T… v Sabah FA | 1-1 |
| Jan 22 | Turan T… v Kəpəz | 2-1 |
| Dec 24 | Turan T… v Araz | 3-1 |
| Dec 10 | Turan T… v Neftchi… | 3-2 |
| Dec 02 | Turan T… v Sumqayıt | 2-2 |
| Nov 25 | Turan T… v Qabala | 4-0 |
Qarabağ FK
14.0%
| Mar 14 | Qarabağ… v Bayer L… | 3-2 |
| Mar 10 | Qarabağ… v Zira | 3-1 |
| Mar 07 | Qarabağ… v Bayer L… | 2-2 |
| Mar 03 | Qarabağ… v Neftchi… | 1-4 |
| Feb 28 | Qarabağ… v Qabala | 0-4 |
| Feb 25 | Qarabağ… v Sumqayıt | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Qarabağ… v SC Braga | 2-3 |
| Feb 15 | Qarabağ… v SC Braga | 2-4 |
| Feb 11 | Qarabağ… v Sabah FA | 3-3 |
| Feb 08 | Qarabağ… v Sabah FA | 3-4 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Oct 20, 2023 | Turan Tovuz | 2-2 | Qarabağ FK |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Qarabağ FK | 3-0 | Turan Tovuz |
| May 28, 2023 | Qarabağ FK | 3-1 | Turan Tovuz |
Key Factors
Qarabağ FK in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.