Azerbaijan Premier League · Oct 20, 2023 14:30
Turan Tovuz
PWR 35
Qarabağ FK
PWR 35
Turan Tovuz
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT
Qarabağ FK
PWR 35
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Turan Tovuz to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (21%)
0-2 (17%)
0-0 (13%)
0-3 (9%)
1-1 (9%)
1-2 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
HOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Turan Tovuz Form
LDDWW
STABLE
Qarabağ FK Form
WWDWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.533%
BTTS28%
Under 2.567%
Turan Tovuz Goals
0
66%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Qarabağ FK Goals
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.42
Turan Tovuzvs
1.64
Qarabağ FKDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Turan Tovuz-1
Gap#2
Qarabağ FK
WR 50% 30 pts
WR 71% 39 pts
Turan Tovuz
12.0%
| Sep 30 | Turan T… v Neftchi… | 0-1 |
| Sep 23 | Turan T… v Sumqayıt | 0-0 |
| Sep 17 | Turan T… v Qabala | 2-2 |
| Sep 01 | Turan T… v Sabah FA | 0-3 |
| Aug 18 | Turan T… v Kəpəz | 0-2 |
| Aug 13 | Turan T… v Qarabağ… | 3-0 |
| Aug 04 | Turan T… v Araz | 0-3 |
| May 28 | Turan T… v Qarabağ… | 3-1 |
| May 13 | Turan T… v Qabala | 1-2 |
| Apr 15 | Turan T… v Kəpəz | 1-0 |
Qarabağ FK
14.0%
| Sep 29 | Qarabağ… v Sumqayıt | 5-0 |
| Sep 25 | Qarabağ… v Qabala | 1-2 |
| Aug 27 | Qarabağ… v Kəpəz | 1-1 |
| Aug 13 | Qarabağ… v Turan T… | 3-0 |
| Aug 05 | Qarabağ… v Zira | 0-1 |
| May 28 | Qarabağ… v Turan T… | 3-1 |
| May 22 | Qarabağ… v Sumqayıt | 1-2 |
| May 08 | Qarabağ… v Qabala | 3-0 |
| Apr 09 | Qarabağ… v Kəpəz | 3-1 |
| Apr 02 | Qarabağ… v Şamaxı | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Aug 13, 2023 | Qarabağ FK | 3-0 | Turan Tovuz |
| May 28, 2023 | Qarabağ FK | 3-1 | Turan Tovuz |
Key Factors
Qarabağ FK in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.