Predictions Match Details
Azerbaijan Premier League · May 28, 2023 15:30

Qarabağ FK
PWR 35
3 - 1
FT

Turan Tovuz
PWR 35
59% H 22% D 19% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Qarabağ FK to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (25%) 2-0 (18%) 0-0 (18%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 8% = high draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff 8%, pos gap 2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Qarabağ FK Form LWWWW
STABLE
Turan Tovuz Form WLLDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.525%
BTTS21%
Under 2.575%
Qarabağ FK Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4
4%
Turan Tovuz Goals
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Qarabağ FK
vs
0.32
Turan Tovuz
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings55%
Market50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Qarabağ FK
+2
Gap
#4
Turan Tovuz
WR 64% 39 pts WR 56% 30 pts
Qarabağ FK 16.0%
May 22 Qarabağ… v Sumqayıt 1-2
May 08 Qarabağ… v Qabala 3-0
Apr 09 Qarabağ… v Kəpəz 3-1
Apr 02 Qarabağ… v Şamaxı 0-1
Mar 05 Qarabağ… v Qabala 1-3
Jan 31 Qarabağ… v Şamaxı 3-1
Dec 19 Qarabağ… v Qabala 1-0
Dec 13 Qarabağ… v Qabala 1-0
Oct 30 Qarabağ… v Şamaxı 0-4
Aug 27 Qarabağ… v Şamaxı 4-0
Turan Tovuz 8.0%
May 13 Turan T… v Qabala 1-2
Apr 15 Turan T… v Kəpəz 1-0
Mar 31 Turan T… v Sumqayıt 2-3
Mar 11 Turan T… v Qabala 1-1
Dec 24 Turan T… v Qabala 0-0
Aug 08 Turan T… v Qabala 0-2
Key Factors
Qarabağ FK in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.