AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paraense Jan 20, 2024

Águia de Marabá

Home
VS
19:30

Tuna Luso

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Águia de Marabá Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Tuna Luso Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 3.04 - 1.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 1.6 Position gap: 7 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Águia de Marabá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Tuna Luso Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 3-2 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 1-1 (5%) 3-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Under 2.5 Goals 25%
Águia de Marabá Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 26 Águia de … vs Remo 2-1
May 18 Águia de … vs Remo 1-0
Feb 15 Águia de … vs Remo 1-2
Feb 11 Águia de … vs Tuna Luso 1-2
Apr 06 Águia de … vs Tuna Luso 3-2
Apr 02 Águia de … vs Tuna Luso 3-2
Mar 06 Águia de … vs Remo 1-1
Jan 26 Águia de … vs Tuna Luso 1-1
May 05 Águia de … vs Remo 1-0
May 01 Águia de … vs Remo 1-3
Tuna Luso Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 15 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 2-1
Apr 19 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 1-1
Apr 16 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 1-4
Mar 18 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 2-1
Feb 11 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 1-2
Apr 06 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 3-2
Apr 02 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 3-2
Feb 06 Tuna Luso vs Amazônia … 2-4
Jan 30 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 0-3
Jan 26 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Águia de Marabá struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Tuna Luso struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 11, 2023 Tuna Luso 1 - 2 Águia de Marabá Paraense
Apr 06, 2022 Tuna Luso 3 - 2 Águia de Marabá Paraense
Apr 02, 2022 Águia de Marabá 3 - 2 Tuna Luso Paraense
Jan 26, 2022 Águia de Marabá 1 - 1 Tuna Luso Paraense
Feb 28, 2021 Águia de Marabá 3 - 2 Tuna Luso Paraense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Águia de Marabá to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Águia de Marabá Power 0
Tuna Luso Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Águia de Marabá Position

+7

Position Gap

9

Tuna Luso Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.