AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera División Mar 19, 2023

Universitario

Home
VS
01:00

ADT

Away
AI Predictions 60.0% Confidence
Universitario Win
60.0%
Draw
22.0%
ADT Win
18.0%
Home Win (60% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 94%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 0.00 - 0.00
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 1.0 Position gap: 16 places
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Universitario Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
ADT Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (12%) 0-1 (11%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Universitario Form 15.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 21 Universit… vs ADT 1-1
Apr 05 Universit… vs ADT 2-1
ADT Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 21 ADT vs Universit… 1-1
Apr 05 ADT vs Universit… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 21, 2022 ADT 1 - 1 Universitario Primera Divisi…
Apr 05, 2022 Universitario 2 - 1 ADT Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

MASTER: Universitario to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 16
Universitario Power 0
ADT Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Universitario Position

+16

Position Gap

18

ADT Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.