AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primeira DivisĂŁo May 11, 2025

CPK

Home
VS
10:00

Universidade de Macau

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
CPK Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Universidade de Macau Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 62% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 2.03 - 0.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.6 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
CPK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Universidade de Macau Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
CPK Form 15.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 28 CPK vs Shao Jiang 2-2
Apr 12 CPK vs Universid… 6-0
Universidade de Macau Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 27 Universid… vs Jia Hua 2-0
Jul 28 Universid… vs Jia Hua 1-0
Jun 29 Universid… vs Jia Hua 0-2
Apr 12 Universid… vs CPK 6-0
Mar 29 Universid… vs Jia Hua 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Universidade de Macau struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 12, 2024 CPK 6 - 0 Universidade de Mac… Primeira Divis…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: CPK to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
CPK Power 0
Universidade de Macau Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

CPK Position

+5

Position Gap

9

Universidade de Macau Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.