AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Catarinense - 1 Feb 02, 2026

Carlos Renaux

Home
VS
22:00

Figueirense

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Carlos Renaux Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Figueirense Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 2.23 - 1.71
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 1.7
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Carlos Renaux Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Figueirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 1-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 3-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Under 2.5 Goals 28%
Carlos Renaux Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Carlos Re… vs Marcílio … 2-4
Jan 21 Carlos Re… vs Joinville 0-1
Jan 17 Carlos Re… vs Camboriú 1-1
Jan 15 Carlos Re… vs Avaí 1-0
Jan 11 Carlos Re… vs Brusque 1-0
Jan 08 Carlos Re… vs Concórdia 0-1
Oct 13 Carlos Re… vs Nação 1-1
Oct 05 Carlos Re… vs Blumenau 2-1
Oct 01 Carlos Re… vs Joinville 2-0
Sep 21 Carlos Re… vs Joinville 4-2
Figueirense Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Figueiren… vs Camboriú 1-1
Jan 22 Figueiren… vs Concórdia 1-0
Jan 18 Figueiren… vs Avaí 0-2
Jan 15 Figueiren… vs Brusque 2-1
Jan 10 Figueiren… vs Marcílio … 1-0
Jan 07 Figueiren… vs Joinville 2-3
Nov 23 Figueiren… vs Joinville 2-1
Nov 16 Figueiren… vs Joinville 1-4
Nov 09 Figueiren… vs Marcílio … 2-1
Nov 02 Figueiren… vs Marcílio … 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Carlos Renaux struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Figueirense struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Carlos Renaux Power 0
Figueirense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Carlos Renaux Position

-1

Position Gap

5

Figueirense Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.