AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Catarinense - 1 Jan 31, 2026

Barra

Home
VS
21:30

Santa Catarina

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Barra Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Santa Catarina Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 44%
Market 46%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 50%
Asian Handicap: Home -0.75
xG: 1.49 - 0.98
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 1.0 Asian Handicap: Home -0.75
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Barra Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Santa Catarina Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
Barra Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Barra vs ConcĂłrdia 5-1
Jan 22 Barra vs Marcílio … 0-1
Jan 17 Barra vs Brusque 0-1
Jan 14 Barra vs CamboriĂş 1-0
Jan 10 Barra vs Joinville 1-0
Jan 08 Barra vs AvaĂ­ 2-1
Oct 12 Barra vs Marcílio … 6-0
Oct 07 Barra vs AvaĂ­ 1-0
Oct 01 Barra vs Figueiren… 1-4
Sep 27 Barra vs Santa Cru… 1-2
Santa Catarina Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Santa Cat… vs Avaí 3-1
Jan 21 Santa Cat… vs Brusque 1-1
Jan 18 Santa Cat… vs Joinville 3-1
Jan 15 Santa Cat… vs Marcílio … 0-1
Jan 11 Santa Cat… vs Concórdia 0-0
Jan 06 Santa Cat… vs Camboriú 2-2
Oct 25 Santa Cat… vs Marcílio … 1-1
Oct 18 Santa Cat… vs Marcílio … 3-2
Oct 15 Santa Cat… vs Brusque 1-0
Oct 05 Santa Cat… vs Concórdia 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Barra in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Santa Catarina in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 23, 2025 Barra 2 - 2 Santa Catarina Catarinense - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Barra Power 0
Santa Catarina Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Barra Position

-3

Position Gap

1

Santa Catarina Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.