Paulista - A4 · Feb 11, 2026 18:00
São Caetano
PWR 35
Nacional SP
PWR 35
São Caetano
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Nacional SP
PWR 35
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: São Caetano to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (24%)
2-0 (22%)
3-0 (14%)
0-0 (13%)
1-1 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
São Caetano Form
WLLDL
STABLE
Nacional SP Form
LLLDD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.533%
BTTS15%
Under 2.567%
São Caetano Goals
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Nacional SP Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
São Caetanovs
0.20
Nacional SPDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum89%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#15
São Caetano-2
Gap#13
Nacional SP
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
São Caetano
6.0%
| Feb 07 | São Cae… v Jabaqua… | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | São Cae… v Inter d… | 2-0 |
| Aug 30 | São Cae… v Grêmio … | 2-0 |
| Aug 23 | São Cae… v Grêmio … | 0-0 |
| Aug 16 | São Cae… v Taubaté | 3-0 |
| Aug 09 | São Cae… v Santo A… | 2-0 |
| Aug 03 | São Cae… v Portugu… | 0-0 |
| Jul 27 | São Cae… v São Jos… | 1-2 |
| Jul 19 | São Cae… v Oeste | 2-0 |
| Jul 12 | São Cae… v Taubaté | 0-2 |
Nacional SP
4.0%
| Feb 07 | Naciona… v Grêmio … | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Naciona… v Jabaqua… | 1-0 |
| Apr 19 | Naciona… v Paulist… | 3-0 |
| Apr 12 | Naciona… v Paulist… | 1-1 |
| Apr 05 | Naciona… v São Cae… | 1-1 |
| Mar 29 | Naciona… v São Cae… | 3-0 |
| Mar 22 | Naciona… v Grêmio … | 0-0 |
| Mar 06 | Naciona… v Grêmio … | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Apr 05, 2025 | São Caetano | 1-1 | Nacional SP |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Nacional SP | 3-0 | São Caetano |
Key Factors
São Caetano struggling (3L in last 5)
Nacional SP struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.