AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A4 Feb 07, 2026

São Caetano

Home
VS
18:00

Jabaquara

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
São Caetano Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Jabaquara Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 1.52 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.2
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
São Caetano Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Jabaquara Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (18%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Under 2.5 Goals 76%
São Caetano Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 São Caeta… vs Inter de … 2-0
Aug 30 São Caeta… vs Grêmio Pr… 2-0
Aug 23 São Caeta… vs Grêmio Pr… 0-0
Aug 16 São Caeta… vs Taubaté 3-0
Aug 09 São Caeta… vs Santo And… 2-0
Aug 03 São Caeta… vs Portugues… 0-0
Jul 27 São Caeta… vs São José … 1-2
Jul 19 São Caeta… vs Oeste 2-0
Jul 12 São Caeta… vs Taubaté 0-2
Jul 05 São Caeta… vs Santo And… 0-2
Jabaquara Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Jabaquara vs Nacional … 1-0
Mar 22 Jabaquara vs Taquariti… 2-1
Mar 12 Jabaquara vs São Caeta… 0-1
Mar 08 Jabaquara vs Colorado … 2-0
Mar 01 Jabaquara vs AEA 0-1
Feb 15 Jabaquara vs Nacional … 1-0
Mar 23 Jabaquara vs Nacional … 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • São Caetano struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Jabaquara struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 12, 2025 São Caetano 0 - 1 Jabaquara Paulista - A4
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
São Caetano Power 0
Jabaquara Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

São Caetano Position

-11

Position Gap

4

Jabaquara Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.