Welsh Cup · Jan 31, 2026 17:15
Caernarfon Town
PWR 54
Colwyn Bay
PWR 50
Caernarfon Town
PWR 54
1 - 0
FT
Colwyn Bay
PWR 50
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (13%)
0-1 (10%)
1-0 (10%)
1-2 (8%)
0-0 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
Full data available (Tier 1)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack79
Defense33
Goals/G2.3
Conc/G1.9
Attack53
Defense48
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.5
Caernarfon Town Form
DDWLW
STABLE
Colwyn Bay Form
DLLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.546%
BTTS52%
Under 2.554%
Caernarfon … Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Colwyn Bay Goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Caernarfon Townvs
1.31
Colwyn BayDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Caernarfon …+1
Gap#5
Colwyn Bay
WR 50% 19 pts
WR 50% 15 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caernarfon Town | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 19 |
| Colwyn Bay | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Caernarfon Town
12.0%
| Jan 24 | Caernar… v Penybont | 0-0 |
| Jan 13 | Caernar… v GAP Con… | 2-2 |
| Dec 31 | Caernar… v Bala To… | 0-1 |
| Dec 27 | Caernar… v Colwyn … | 1-2 |
| Dec 13 | Caernar… v Cardiff… | 2-4 |
| Dec 05 | Caernar… v Flint T… | 1-1 |
| Nov 28 | Caernar… v The New… | 2-0 |
| Nov 22 | Caernar… v Colwyn … | 1-3 |
| Nov 22 | Caernar… v Penrhyn… | 4-0 |
| Nov 15 | Caernar… v Llanell… | 1-1 |
Colwyn Bay
10.0%
| Jan 24 | Colwyn … v GAP Con… | 2-2 |
| Jan 13 | Colwyn … v The New… | 1-0 |
| Jan 01 | Colwyn … v Flint T… | 1-2 |
| Dec 27 | Colwyn … v Caernar… | 1-2 |
| Dec 13 | Colwyn … v Pontypr… | 0-3 |
| Dec 05 | Colwyn … v GAP Con… | 2-1 |
| Nov 29 | Colwyn … v Penybont | 5-4 |
| Nov 22 | Colwyn … v Caernar… | 1-3 |
| Nov 15 | Colwyn … v Haverfo… | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Colwyn … v Llanell… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Dec 27, 2025 | Caernarfon To… | 1-2 | Colwyn Bay |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Caernarfon To… | 1-3 | Colwyn Bay |
| Oct 04, 2025 | Colwyn Bay | 1-0 | Caernarfon To… |
| Aug 01, 2025 | Caernarfon To… | 3-0 | Colwyn Bay |
| Dec 31, 2023 | Caernarfon To… | 2-1 | Colwyn Bay |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Colwyn Bay | 0-4 | Caernarfon To… |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.