Welsh Cup · Jan 31, 2026 14:00
Bangor 1876
PWR 63
PWR 63
2 - 1
FT
Caerau (Ely)
PWR 37
PWR 37
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Bangor 1876 to win (87% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
87%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (10%)
1-1 (10%)
2-0 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
3-0 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 73%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy68%
POSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskConfidence 72.9% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack58
Defense65
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.0
Attack47
Defense30
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G2.0
Bangor 1876 Form
WWDLL
STABLE
Caerau (Ely) Form
WLDWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.555%
BTTS54%
Under 2.545%
Bangor 1876 Goals
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Caerau (Ely) Goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Bangor 1876vs
0.99
Caerau (Ely)Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Bangor 1876+8
Gap#14
Caerau (Ely)
WR 67% 13 pts
WR 33% 7 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangor 1876 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
| Caerau (Ely) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 7 |
Bangor 1876
10.0%
| Dec 13 | Bangor … v Trefelin | 2-0 |
| Nov 22 | Bangor … v Holywell | 2-1 |
| Oct 18 | Bangor … v Guilsfi… | 1-1 |
| Apr 12 | Bangor … v Ruthin … | 1-0 |
| Apr 05 | Bangor … v Caersws | 1-2 |
| Mar 29 | Bangor … v Mold Al… | 6-1 |
| Nov 16 | Bangor … v Caersws | 2-1 |
| Oct 19 | Bangor … v Llay Mi… | 2-1 |
| Jul 19 | Bangor … v Ruthin … | 2-1 |
| Apr 23 | Bangor … v Denbigh… | 2-2 |
Caerau (Ely)
10.0%
| Jan 23 | Caerau … v Trethom… | 1-5 |
| Jan 16 | Caerau … v Trefelin | 1-2 |
| Jan 09 | Caerau … v Newport… | 1-1 |
| Jan 02 | Caerau … v Cardiff… | 2-1 |
| Dec 26 | Caerau … v Trefelin | 3-0 |
| Dec 20 | Caerau … v Aberyst… | 1-0 |
| Dec 13 | Caerau … v Llandud… | 2-1 |
| Nov 28 | Caerau … v Carmart… | 1-1 |
| Nov 07 | Caerau … v Cambria… | 2-3 |
| Oct 31 | Caerau … v Afan Li… | 3-2 |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.