AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Iraqi League Feb 01, 2026

Zakho

Home
VS
14:30

Al Minaa Basra

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Zakho Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Al Minaa Basra Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 74%
Market 61%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 45%
Asian Handicap: Home -1.5
xG: 2.11 - 0.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.5 Position gap: 7 places Asian Handicap: Home -1.5
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Zakho Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Al Minaa Basra Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 0-0 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
Zakho Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 27 Zakho vs Al Najaf 1-2
Jan 23 Zakho vs Duhok 1-1
Jan 18 Zakho vs Naft Mays… 0-2
Jan 14 Zakho vs Al Kahrab… 0-3
Jan 09 Zakho vs Baghdad 2-2
Jan 04 Zakho vs Al Shorta… 1-0
Dec 31 Zakho vs Al Karkh 1-1
Dec 27 Zakho vs Al-Karma 0-0
Dec 23 Zakho vs Al Ain 0-1
Nov 23 Zakho vs Al-Qasim … 1-0
Al Minaa Basra Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 Al Minaa … vs Naft 0-0
Jan 23 Al Minaa … vs Al Shorta… 1-1
Jan 19 Al Minaa … vs Al-Talaba 1-2
Jan 14 Al Minaa … vs Al Karkh 0-2
Jan 09 Al Minaa … vs Duhok 1-0
Jan 05 Al Minaa … vs Al Kahrab… 1-2
Jan 01 Al Minaa … vs Newroz 1-1
Dec 28 Al Minaa … vs Al Zawra'a 2-0
Nov 22 Al Minaa … vs Al-Karma 2-0
Oct 31 Al Minaa … vs Al-Qasim … 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Zakho in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 03, 2025 Zakho 1 - 0 Al Minaa Basra Iraqi League
Nov 27, 2024 Al Minaa Basra 0 - 0 Zakho Iraqi League
Apr 30, 2024 Zakho 3 - 1 Al Minaa Basra Iraqi League
Feb 21, 2024 Al Minaa Basra 0 - 2 Zakho Iraqi League
Feb 19, 2022 Zakho 0 - 0 Al Minaa Basra Iraqi League
Oct 01, 2021 Al Minaa Basra 0 - 2 Zakho Iraqi League
Jun 21, 2021 Al Minaa Basra 3 - 1 Zakho Iraqi League
Jan 07, 2021 Zakho 2 - 1 Al Minaa Basra Iraqi League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Zakho to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Zakho Power 0
Al Minaa Basra Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Zakho Position

+7

Position Gap

15

Al Minaa Basra Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.