Liga MX · Feb 22, 2026 03:00
Cruz Azul
PWR 35
Guadalajara Chivas
PWR 35
Cruz Azul
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Guadalajara Chivas
PWR 35
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (18%)
0-0 (14%)
2-0 (12%)
1-1 (12%)
0-1 (9%)
2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 0% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 0%, pos gap 1
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Cruz Azul Form
LWWWW
STABLE
Guadalajara Ch… Form
WWWWW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.532%
BTTS35%
Under 2.568%
Cruz Azul Goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Guadalajara… Goals
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Cruz Azulvs
0.65
Guadalajara Ch…Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum70%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Cruz Azul-1
Gap#1
Guadalajara…
WR 100% 9 pts
WR 100% 12 pts
Cruz Azul
16.0%
| Feb 07 | Cruz Az… v Toluca | 1-0 |
| Feb 05 | Cruz Az… v Vancouv… | 0-3 |
| Jan 31 | Cruz Az… v FC Juar… | 3-4 |
| Jan 18 | Cruz Az… v Puebla | 1-0 |
| Jan 14 | Cruz Az… v Atlas | 2-0 |
| Jan 11 | Cruz Az… v León FC | 2-1 |
| Jan 05 | Cruz Az… v CDS Tam… | 2-1 |
| Dec 10 | Cruz Az… v Flamengo | 1-2 |
| Dec 07 | Cruz Az… v Tigres … | 1-1 |
| Dec 04 | Cruz Az… v Tigres … | 1-1 |
Guadalajara Ch…
20.0%
| Feb 07 | Guadala… v Mazatlá… | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Guadala… v Atletic… | 2-3 |
| Jan 17 | Guadala… v Queréta… | 2-1 |
| Jan 14 | Guadala… v FC Juar… | 0-1 |
| Jan 10 | Guadala… v Pachuca | 2-0 |
| Jan 04 | Guadala… v Atlas | 0-0 |
| Dec 01 | Guadala… v Cruz Az… | 3-2 |
| Nov 28 | Guadala… v Cruz Az… | 0-0 |
| Nov 08 | Guadala… v Monterr… | 4-2 |
| Nov 03 | Guadala… v Pachuca | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 01, 2025 | Cruz Azul | 3-2 | Guadalajara C… |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Guadalajara C… | 0-0 | Cruz Azul |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Guadalajara C… | 1-2 | Cruz Azul |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Guadalajara C… | 0-1 | Cruz Azul |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Cruz Azul | 1-0 | Guadalajara C… |
| Mar 03, 2024 | Cruz Azul | 3-0 | Guadalajara C… |
| Nov 05, 2023 | Guadalajara C… | 1-0 | Cruz Azul |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Guadalajara C… | 2-1 | Cruz Azul |
| Dec 31, 2022 | Guadalajara C… | 0-2 | Cruz Azul |
| Oct 02, 2022 | Cruz Azul | 2-1 | Guadalajara C… |
Key Factors
Cruz Azul in strong form (4W in last 5)
Guadalajara Chivas in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.