Paulista - A4 · Mar 22, 2025 18:00
Nacional AM
PWR 33
Grêmio Sãocarlense
PWR 35
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT
Nacional AM
PWR 33
31% H
28% D
41% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Grêmio Sãocarlense to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (15%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (11%)
0-0 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
0-1 (9%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONAWAY_LEAKING
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk
AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (35.3%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack35
Defense30
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.0
Grêmio Sãocarl… Form
DDLLL
STABLE
Nacional AM Form
WLWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.538%
BTTS42%
Under 2.562%
Grêmio Sãoc… Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Nacional AM Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Grêmio Sãocarl…vs
0.80
Nacional AMDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#15
Grêmio Sãoc…+3
Gap#18
Nacional AM
WR 13% 6 pts
WR 33% 3 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grêmio Sãocarle… | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 6 |
| Nacional AM | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
Grêmio Sãocarl…
4.0%
| Mar 15 | Grêmio … v Paulist… | 0-0 |
| Mar 12 | Grêmio … v Colorad… | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Grêmio … v Taquari… | 1-2 |
| Mar 01 | Grêmio … v São Cae… | 2-1 |
| Jan 22 | Grêmio … v AEA | 2-1 |
| Mar 06 | Grêmio … v Naciona… | 1-0 |
Nacional AM
12.0%
| Mar 20 | Naciona… v Guanaba… | 1-2 |
| Mar 15 | Naciona… v Vocem | 0-3 |
| Mar 15 | Naciona… v São Rai… | 4-1 |
| Mar 13 | Naciona… v Amazonas | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Naciona… v Treze | 1-4 |
| Feb 15 | Naciona… v Guanaba… | 0-0 |
| Feb 15 | Naciona… v Jabaqua… | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Naciona… v Corinth… | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Naciona… v Sousa | 3-0 |
| Feb 01 | Naciona… v Flumine… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Mar 06, 2024 | Nacional AM | 1-0 | Grêmio Sãocar… |
Key Factors
Nacional AM in strong form (3W in last 5)
Grêmio Sãocarlense struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.