Paulista - A4 · Mar 12, 2025 23:00

São Caetano
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
Jabaquara
PWR 35
58% H 23% D 20% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: São Caetano to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (29%) 0-0 (21%) 2-0 (19%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy56%
HOME_FORMAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
São Caetano Form DW
STABLE
Jabaquara Form LLLW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.520%
BTTS13%
Under 2.580%
São Caetano Goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Jabaquara Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
São Caetano
vs
0.20
Jabaquara
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum82%
Standings82%
Market50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
São Caetano
+1
Gap
#7
Jabaquara
WR 100% 3 pts WR 0% 3 pts
São Caetano 15.0%
Mar 08 São Cae… v Barretos 0-0
Mar 01 São Cae… v Grêmio … 2-1
Jabaquara 5.0%
Mar 08 Jabaqua… v Colorad… 2-0
Mar 01 Jabaqua… v AEA 0-1
Feb 15 Jabaqua… v Naciona… 1-0
Mar 23 Jabaqua… v Naciona… 3-2
Key Factors
Jabaquara struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.